Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[BHS1975]

Yes!!

Need room for that NW trend when it hits those boiling SSTs.


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[LukeBarrette]

Is the CMC stuck?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That look on the UK ? I’ll take it anyday

 

[KyloG]

UK was definitely a step in the right direction

 

[griteater]

I haven’t noticed it so much recently, but I know that the UKMET used to have a suppression bias.

I used to really like the UKMet, but it seems to have become more inconsistent of late...it was terrible with one of the weak storms in the last couple years...I think last year

 

[mrdaddyman]

EURO and UKMET tend to mirror each other quite often. I bet the EURO comes in further South than 12Z.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That look on the UK ? I’ll take it anyday View attachment 103589View attachment 103590View attachment 103591

This is literally what we all beg to see at this range. Beg. Every single year. And here it is.

 

[BHS1975]

UK was definitely a step in the right direction

View attachment 103593

You think that Baja low is keeping it from getting squashed?


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[BHS1975]

EURO and UKMET tend to mirror each other quite often. I bet the EURO comes in further South than 12Z.

Yeap need it to go south a bit then correct north 48hrs out and lock in.


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[griteater]

GFS Ens Mean has trended SW in each of the last 5 runs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fwiw the CMC early on has way more separation from the future Baja low… it might come on board

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

EURO and UKMET tend to mirror each other quite often. I bet the EURO comes in further South than 12Z.

A GFS/UKMET blend=winner for Atlanta peeps.

 

[jay.p]

my god. This is hall of fame worthy.
View attachment 103551

This puts Raleigh is the bullseye


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[iGRXY]

Ridge is definitely taller out west on the CMC

 

[KyloG]

CMC looks like a beast mode run

 

[KyloG]

To bad this isn't day 3 instead of day 5-6 on the GFS/CMC.

 

[KyloG]

You think that Baja low is keeping it from getting squashed?


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More seperation so it's allowed to dig more SW. UK was really close.

 

[Rain Cold]

CMC looks like a beast mode run
View attachment 103595

Oh man you know it's on when we start posting the Canadian Classic black and whites straignt off the difax machine!

 

[HKY1994]

To bad this isn't day 3 instead of day 5-6 on the GFS/CMC.

View attachment 103596

Two operational models coming on board for a major storm within 4-5 days is a big deal, if Euro comes in with something similar we’re in business. The vort trends are happening at hr72-96 so it’s not just voodoo


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[KyloG]

Oh man you know it's on when we start posting the Canadian Classic black and whites straignt off the difax machine!

I couldn't stand not knowing. I am working tonight until 2am so bored too.