Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Jlaw0097]

11PM Update
SW Mitchell County, NC
Temperature: 24.4°F
Wind Chill: 11.5°F
Wind: 15-20mph/Gusting to 25
Snow has stopped

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Consistently getting a range around 3.7-4.0” amounts here, basically 3.7-4” is the total in the books here for this event

 

[YetAnotherRDUGuy]

Upon closer inspection, more of a 75/25 sn/rn mix here on average.

 

[blueheronNC]

Finally all snow here but light

 

[jackendrickwx]

Snow mixes in some, but it’s mostly rain

 

[jackendrickwx]

Finally all snow here but light

mPing neighbor

 

[Gibby]

Im getting heavier now than I did this morning ?

 

[BullCityWx]

It’s definitely freshening up the glacier in the front yard

 

[BullCityWx]

Im getting heavier now than I did this morning ?

Where are you in H’borough? Just curious.

 

[Gibby]

Where are you in H’borough? Just curious.

Across from the hospital.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

The best long range model was the GFS. I think the 3K NAM did the best with temps here, HRRR and RAP were too cold.

 

[NCSNOW]

The best long range model was the GFS. I think the 3K NAM did the best with temps here, HRRR and RAP were too cold.

The GFS had the ULL UP into western KY for several runs.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

The GFS had the ULL UP into western KY for several runs.

True. I guess all the models has their ups and downs

 

[Chazwin]

The best long range model was the GFS. I think the 3K NAM did the best with temps here, HRRR and RAP were too cold.

In terms of Storm track, the GFS did horrible. It repeatedly pushed the ULL up into TN and KY.. I don’t give it too much of hit on that because all the models did poor with it… the ULL ended up going along I-20 and then I-85. As for the surface low, the GFS repeatedly developed the new low well too west, even inside the CAD. Finally the GFS eroded the CAD way too much, but we all know that’s a bias of the globals. Track wise, it feels like the Euro and UK did the best

 

[BullCityWx]

IMBY, the 3K and ICON(believe it or not) were the best on temps. The euro thought I’d get to 47 today - I made it to 33 for an hour.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

In terms of Storm track, the GFS did horrible. It repeatedly pushed the ULL up into TN and KY.. I don’t give it too much of hit on that because all the models did poor with it… the ULL ended up going along I-20 and then I-85. As for the surface low, the GFS repeatedly developed the new low well too west, even inside the CAD. Finally the GFS eroded the CAD way too much, but we all know that’s a bias of the globals. Track wise, it feels like the Euro and UK did the best

The UK was far too south until 48 hours

 

[Chazwin]

The UK was far too south until 48 hours

Sorry I actually meant the Icon, which pains me to say since I do not think much of that model

 

[J.C.]

I see the 3km NAM has snow showers tomorrow.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

The wind is really howling outside. Also it’s still 34 outside, I never got under 32 the whole event ?

 

[J.C.]

The wind is really howling outside. Also it’s still 34 outside, I never got under 32 the whole event ?

It started getting windy when the winds shifted northwest away from the wedge. We are getting all of Chattanooga’s warm air. I dropped to 31.6 around 6pm, then all the way up to 34 after the wind shift. 33.4 now, and has been for hours.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

21 degrees. Opened the door and immediately all the heat gets sucked out of the house.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Picture of the street. This is the reason that I like snow.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Did anyone actually get a massive ice storm out of this or were the models over doing that like usual?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Did anyone actually get a massive ice storm out of this or were the models over doing that like usual?

Parts of SC saw 0.5 of ice, especially around pageland SC

 

[Bham 99]

Did anyone actually get a massive ice storm out of this or were the models over doing that like usual?

Sleet saved me... There was some ice in the trees but not as much as there would have been without sleet. It was enough sleep for probably half an inch

 

[CyclonicFury]

RDU airport officially only goes down as a trace for this one.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[Ollie Williams]

Did anyone actually get a massive ice storm out of this or were the models over doing that like usual?

 

[Nerman]

For my area, the Euro nailed this system and didn't budge for 4 days. Then the HRRR followed it as soon as it got in range and was just as steady in the solution. They both had me at 4-6 inches of snow with other wintry mix getting in. It verified at the low end of their guidance.

All while the GSF kept showing a storm jogging well nw of me. It shifted to the euro as the system approached and it handled upstate sc awful too.

Long live The King!

(I believe the Gfs spotted the signal of southern snow 1st though)

 

[olhausen]

Just went under a winter weather advisory for another inch of snow. Snow is beginning to fall as I type.

 

[packfan98]

Looks like that last band that came through put down over 1/2” of snow on top of the 3.75” of sleet/snow from earlier. Made everything look beautiful and covered every blade of grass. It’s definitely going to take a while to melt with around 2.5” of sleet sandwiched in.

 

[smast16]

Well that was fun. While I can't believe it wasn't snowing at 21, at least it wasn't ice. It was cool that during the entire event, the gutters never ran!! That's unusual, as theirs always some melt, lol.

It's a pile of sleet, and with these temps, it's not going anywhere anytime soon.

On to the next!

 

[cyclogent]

nice hit for the board in general.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Give me another sleet storm this last one made me enjoy sleet ?

 

[Storm5]

Still ripping

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s snowing outside…. It will never end

 

[NCSNOW]

True blue Blizzard in NW NC this morning

 

[Wildboutsnow]

Prolly not very often people in these parts, getting a pool put in, sees it in this condition. ? I have a feeling that nothing progresses for a few weeks at least...?
Oh well...bring on the and COLD!

 

[smast16]

Groupel at my location.