Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Shawn]

Which makes me curious as to why we want it to go south so much. Do we really want it to if it’s bringing up warmer air?

The idea is to get more of a Miller-A look and off the coast instead of some kind of hybrid transfer. The track of the low over land is bringing the warm air advection into the mid levels.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Alright now show us the ice storm on the euro ?? has to be interesting where dews are projected

 

[iGRXY]

 

[SD]

? saturday sneaky treat

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

That’s a hell of a FGEN snow band on the euroView attachment 105174View attachment 105175View attachment 105176View attachment 105177

Dang, unless there is some good precip with the ULL which I presume is still back in Bama, the primary seems done with Ga. by Sunday AM?

 

[Flotown]

View attachment 105179

Can u post further west please?

 

[iGRXY]

Alright now show us the ice storm on the euro ?? has to be interesting where dews are projected

It’s nasty

 

[packfan98]

The low is significantly further south on the 18z but appears warmer temps all around.

The 18z Euro was a little further north with the precip shield.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

View attachment 105173

Dang. Back to front-end snow we go in the ATL.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

View attachment 105179

Those totals up near Boone are just unreal

 

[crecre9]

The 18z Euro was a little further north with the precip shield.

Can you post it? It'd be good to have to compare to the CMC.

 

[FamouslyHot]

Didn't notice any major differences this run so here's the fun maps

 

[WxGSO]

Not sure if anybody has posted the RAH briefing. One thing they show is a stronger hold of cold air from Raleigh westward. But they also don't show the high amounts of wintery precip some of the models are showing; which goes to the point that models tend to overdue amounts (especially freezing rain).

https://www.weather.gov/media/rah/briefing/NWSRaleighLatestBriefing.pdf

No, it shows you how conservative they are...they aren't going to post crazy amounts from the get go, that's for sure.

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[snowlover91]

21z RAP has a nice little band saturday. Drops a dusting across a few areas.

 

[Chazwin]

That’s a hell of a FGEN snow band on the euroView attachment 105174View attachment 105175View attachment 105176View attachment 105177

The EURO has really been trying to show that band since last night. The soundings look great even down into where it’s showing the mix. This is definitely something to keep an eye and if the HRRR starts picking up on it, that would be a great thing

 

[BHS1975]

saturday sneaky treat View attachment 105180

The HRRR has it too.


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[Nerman]

The Euro has been by far the most consistent model for several days now. I'll be shocked if it busts.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

While these totals are to high, the euro has been hellbent on this front end band of snow

 

[iGRXY]

Can u post further west please?

 

[wake4est]

Anyone have IP and ZR maps for NC off the Euro?