Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Arcc]

Jesus what trends for areas west of the mountains. Still a good 24 hours for the trends to get better


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Maybe longer than that. The ULL in the last event trended south almost until verification.

 

[LovingGulfLows]

The EPS members/mean will be very interesting.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

That’s a pretty large shift for Central NC. Solidly below freezing at 18z Sunday

 

[blueheronNC]

Euro takes the low west of I-95

 

[Mitch West]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Metwannabe]

Ice accumulations for euro?

 

[ncskywarn]

Ice accumulations for euro?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I think some areas from CLT-GSO could pick up over a inch to near 2 inches of sleet in this setup with the snow and ZR lol

 

[BufordWX]

This is gonna be worth waking up at 2-4 AM Sunday morning

 

[iGRXY]

I am getting more and more confident that we could get a quick 2-4" in the upstate with that initial precip. Especially along 85.

 

[Arcc]

South central TN went from 2” to 16” in one run. Now that is a good trend.

 

[Oconeexman]

This is gonna be worth waking up at 2-4 AM Sunday morning View attachment 105041

For sure will be some awesome rates and dendritic growth admiration!

 

[SnowNiner]

I think some areas from CLT-GSO could pick up over a inch to near 2 inches of sleet in this setup with the snow and ZR lol

Didn't like that Euro run at all. Just a whole bunch of freezing rain. Sleet would be fine as it accumulates and doesn't knock out power. Hate the track of the low as well.

At this point the globals are what they are I guess. Time to watch the NAM and RGEM.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Better track and it still goes dues north.

 

[Jrips2710]

Definitely a dry slot over Atlanta on that Euro run

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Can't really tell if this was a wobble 'twixt the NAM earlier or respecting the GFS a little bit. Really curious about that energy transfer with the LP. Seems like that would dry up precip in GA given that is goes from SW of Birmingham @hr 72 to near Charleston @78.

I admittedly am not good at understanding this...just watching the letters move from one spot to the other.

 

[BufordWX]

Let’s be real we just are not going to go to sleep Saturday night

The euro already has snow moving into Atlanta shortly after midnight. Gonna be a fun night.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I am getting more and more confident that we could get a quick 2-4" in the upstate with that initial precip. Especially along 85.

850’s are plenty cold on the front end. I would probably bet on the heaviest frontal band setting up south of 85.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

This is gonna be worth waking up at 2-4 AM Sunday morning View attachment 105041

That’s probably 1.5” / hr rates if precip starts at 1am.