12z suite will be fun to watch
One thing I would watch for you N GA folks is the HRRR as it begins to come into view… it does great at picking up strong FGEN bands and this set up screams that potential. A strong FGEN band can crash a column very quicklyI’d agree. If you’re in GA you’re almost hoping this trends warmer to avoid ice on the front end.
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Aside from my area NEward where it's so borderline on many models that if it stays or is even a hair colder it will be mostly snow with less ice or more sleet than iceI’d agree. If you’re in GA you’re almost hoping this trends warmer to avoid ice on the front end.
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Still believe us in central Alabama have a good shot at some snow. Thing tO watch for is the surprises we usually have on snow day. With any snow event there's usually a surprise or two. Maybe that snow line is pushed south about 50 miles or so ?. Really hopeful for some snow here.Getting close enough for a chase.
One thing I would watch for you N GA folks is the HRRR as it begins to come into view… it does great at picking up strong FGEN bands and this set up screams that potential. A strong FGEN band can crash a column very quickly
Looks good, if I were a map maker I'd probably slide it west some or either eliminate the pink area, at the very least label that as onset sn/ip/zr quickly transitioning to all rn. That low track on the 6z euro will put an end to any frozen quick around hereFirst call, thinking I-20 and north especially has the chance of significant ice accumulation. Then as you get towards the NC/SC border towards 85 the chances of snow and sleet accumulation pick up significantly, then in WNC/northern counties of the upstate and VA, there could be some bigtime snow accumulation. I have a small circle for FGEN snow band potential View attachment 104893
Yea man this one is gonna be fun. Safely using kuchera method is still a major for a lot of us coupled with big winds...what a day this will be if the euro is correct. It may be wrong but you can't argue the consistency which is believable.
Robert, the temps ticking up or down a few degrees are within a certain margin of error for sure. I agree with "on to the 12z" suites as that shed a little more light on temps but still, things can variate right up until "go time".Yeh I’m not entirely sure why y’all don’t seem concerned about the overnight and 06z runs. All of them ticked warmer. Maybe for areas snow trended higher in your specific area, but in general, temps and temps aloft ticked warmer or maybe stayed about the same. East trend doesn’t mean a ton if that HP in the NE doesn’t cooperate better. On to the 12z runs.
PS, Shawn, I hope we get an Ice storm the size of Kansas.
Can't say that I blame them based on what occurred overnight. I'm honestly skeptical of any backside impact other than novel flakes.FFC delivering a swift kick to the nads this morning. ?
Warmer temps towards the ATL metro will lend towards all rain with
snow possibly mixing in at times. However, if the wedge is stronger
than anticipated, will have to monitor for light icing, especially
in the eastern ATL `burbs. Do think that ptype will finish off as
ra/sn on the back side of the low across much of north Georgia.
Good news
Good news
No.Will slowing down the storm help us
It's a fine line up here..always on the razors edge. I'm concerned but still expect a major storm. Fine adjustment in placement, track and timing are coming. The 12z suite will be telling after sampling for sure.Yeh I’m not entirely sure why y’all don’t seem concerned about the overnight and 06z runs. All of them ticked warmer. Maybe for areas snow trended higher in your specific area, but in general, temps and temps aloft ticked warmer or maybe stayed about the same. East trend doesn’t mean a ton if that HP in the NE doesn’t cooperate better. On to the 12z runs.
PS, Shawn, I hope we get an Ice storm the size of Kansas.