Assuming you are in Anderson SC, you are in a good spot for major impacts, be safe.
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Assuming you are in Anderson SC, you are in a good spot for major impacts, be safe.
Stephenb888
Member
I just mean what would we need to get less freezing rain and more snow in the upstate.
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah too Miller Aish to see a I 95 track IMO......just does not seem likely given the setup....still need a lot of work for our backyards to sniff anything significant not gonna be our storm.
Determinations at least 24 hours out, rough guess you will start as snow and likely see several inches before IP/ Maybe ZR but profiles look like sleet, than back to snow as the surface lifts NNE.
Not a good run with temps this morning. Some areas stayed the same or was extremely warmer. Possible transferring of the surface low?
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Temps are lock imo up this way but qpf busts are quiet possible I see. Up to 0.75” of fantasy moisture could lower snow amounts by a large margin for some esp @BIG FROSTY and up into south-west Virginia.
I’m very hesitant to go above 6” for anyone in NC until it’s actually on radar. I just have to see the final track and moisture returns I’ve been down this road too many times. Maybe we can pin point the track sooner to see who gets that 12”+ but for now it’s still low confidence. I’m high confidence tho on amounts up to 6”.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Whose got the eps
Mount Rogers, Virginia still my chasing place. 
olhausen
Member
Nashville area discussion
Snowflowxxl
Member
850s are on fire on the NAM in most places outside mtns
Snowflowxxl
Member
Almost all of this is ice or sleet outside the mountains. Good night
So going over the overnight model data.
Latest NAM, Euro, & CMC all ticked back warmer
UKMET is the only model that looks better from it's previous run
Not to wake everyone up with negativity, but we are ticking back the wrong direction.
On to the morning runs.
Latest NAM, Euro, & CMC all ticked back warmer
UKMET is the only model that looks better from it's previous run
Not to wake everyone up with negativity, but we are ticking back the wrong direction.
On to the morning runs.
Downeastnc
Member
cool graphic
Snowflowxxl
Member
6Z ICON is another huge hit. Might even be a tick colder
Looks like its a literal tick warmer at the beginning of the storm, but a tick colder during the middle and end of the storm.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Probably gonna start seeing winter storm watches being issued later today/tomorrow morning