I could enjoy my fantasy blizzard a whole lot more if I wasn't constantly moving banter post, c'mon y'all. Thanks
This TPV trend is heavenly, it’s a big reason why we’re seeing such deep cold CADView attachment 103577
NC-12 would cease to exist . A storm like the GFS shows would be a beating on the outer banks . I wish just once it would bomb out like the model shows . There’s some mid 70s just offshore there in the gulf stream . There’s enough juice to make it happen . Has a storm ever bombed like that recently ?Hampton Roads had serious flooding, within 2 feet of records, even with last week's storm (worse than Dorian). A strong low pressure like the one on the GFS would not be good news, especially if heavy snow accumulates on trees and power lines with the kind of wind a storm like that would produce. Coastal flooding on top of power outages would not be ideal
Yeah that track is worrisome though, definitely think we have a ton of mixing issue, no wiggle room for sureYou only net 24.5 inches.
Halifax County USA the jackpot
A bomb like that over the warm ssts would be a guaranteed stronger than modeled warm noseYeah that track is worrisome though, definitely think we have a ton of mixing issue, no wiggle room for sure
The closest analog I have found to this storm has been March 1980. Obviously some notable differences with less of a 50/50 low, and a low coming out of SE Canada. However, the wave orientation and tilt are similar. View attachment 103402View attachment 103403
But if you haul in a low that strong, that’s gonna bring WAA inPersonally I think the GFS is trying to drive the LP into probably one of the strongest CADs I’ve seen in a long time. Usually a warm nose is worrisome but with the entrenched TPV located where it is with the CAD in place, I think this is something that isn’t likely.
Problem is the low isn’t likely to come that far north. That’s the point of a strong CAD. Globals routinely try and drive LP into it and that’s not happening. It will pivot around it or Miller B with a transfer to the coast.But if you haul in a low that strong, that’s gonna bring WAA in
This is awesome, no other way to describe it, this setup is just getting colder and colder, MSLP pattern is trending betterView attachment 103578
That track and strength would have a serious warm nose, ugh
Hmm more northern jackpot
Didn’t someone post something a while back about sea surface temperatures .. if this stone has a way to tap into those warm water right off the coast maybe that could be a trigger to something big like this in some way
I’m assuming it’s still snowing here
Only reason to be weary is if you have some ridging nudging into the southeast coast and we’re not seeing that here with that big PV in the Atlantic. This really is a great white Buffalo setup. The opportunity is there. No doubt about.IF the CAD is that strong, the low isn't going to just plow right through the middle of it. Let's not forget, the GFS isn't, shall we say, all that accurate with 6 day snowstorm placement.
Storm signal is there on the models. Pattern supports it. Cold air looks available. Overall, great news at this lead.
This might be the run of the night so far tbh. That’s beautiful.UKMET is suppressed to hell, with some light snow View attachment 103585View attachment 103586
Yes!!UKMet is way south
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You love to see it. That’s absolutely beautiful. This euro run is about to be interesting. Should favor the Ukie. Weenie time.UKMet is way south
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