Agreed out to 54 still seeing some of it
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Snowflowxxl
Member
Brad Nitz is going to learn from this storm why Ken Cook and Glenn Burns used to call for a dusting even if the models were showing over 6 inches
DLI4SCwx
Member
My hope is we can get more of a Ukie like setup, from the past few runs. LP is in a good spot and we get a nice, entrenched cold air push locked in from the HP. You are right though, that energy out west has to get sheared more. Definitely don't want that 50/50 bolting on us too fast either.
alfoman
Member
12Z GFS through 60 hours is a tiny bit more strung out with our piece of energy and stronger with the one off the coast, similar trend to the NAM in that regard.
Edit: Still very amped at 72 hours
Edit: Still very amped at 72 hours
Jrips2710
Member
Pretty similar through 60 but a tick weaker
Warm biased Icon showing ice in the mid upper 20’s deep into SC... ?
iGRXY
Member
Definitely looks like its feeling the baja low more this run.iGRXY
Member
Still isn't closed off at 72
Don't see a ton of changes on the GFS, another amped up system inbound..... no denying that at this point. Gonna be a mess
ATLwxfan
Member
Yeah that’s a definite improvement for NGA. Would watch that trailing clipper too.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
SnowNiner
Member
Ukie and Icon now, can't forget that. Both I believe are now similar with the southern transfer. We're forming an alliance. Hopefully America joins the coalition today.
iGRXY
Member
Yep no real change in the surface at 87. Same placement as before.
alfoman
Member
Warmer 850s, surface low a tad NE and slower, just as amped as before, and the high retreating further into Canada. 12Z GFS continuing the trend, it will not back down
griteater
Member
GFS out to 84 is a touch more suppressive with the heights along the east coast. Shouldn’t be worse this run at least
lp even further north than 06z lol
iGRXY
Member
LOL man this model is pitiful.
Downeastnc
Member
Not a great track through NC on the ICON. Still Yuck for lots of places.
Yep the trend has to go back to offshore for snow, storms that cut right up the coast or inland do not work out for NC.....well east if the Triad anyways.....that would be heavy rain rates into temps in the low 30's so the upside would be that it it would make it hard for the ice to build up quickly....the ICON actually curls the low WEST of my longitude over Virginia....
Really need this to start trending south, I was encouraged with the ICON shifted a lot south over the mid south.....but that did not really translate into the track up in NC......we need it to flatten out and for the low to move from the panhandle to off the NC capes.....
The latest run held the high better over NE even, but still ended up over eastern NC......hopefully this is the beginning of a trend though and we see this all move back to where it was a few days ago...
Lower heights in the NE
It'll still Miller B no doubt but likely more wedging and farther E with the secondary
It'll still Miller B no doubt but likely more wedging and farther E with the secondary
Finnaly a positive trend on the gfs 
alfoman
Member
Now the golden question the next hour or two will be: Do we see the UK, CMC, and Euro follow the NE trend further or can it be isolated to the GFS figuring out how to handle the energy?