Pattern Jammin January 2024

[BullCityWx]

Signal seems to be the strongest in the border counties in the north central and northeastern piedmont. Even Halifax airport in Northampton had 21/30

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

@BullCityWx do you have both ensemble (EPS GEFS) temp graphs for KJNX?

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[BullCityWx]

10/30 at JNX but that was up from 2/30 at 12z ?

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

10/30 at JNX but that was up from 2/30 at 12z

Need to keep that up for sure

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[JLL1973]

Midsouth is headed for the deep freeze. Ouch

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Fwiw the 18z EPS/control looks better. In fact the height field suppression on the control is just as good, if not slightly better then last nights 00z run, which lead to a colder SE Vs last nights run, which would probably bode well for the storm.

 

[RBR71]

Signal seems to be the strongest in the border counties in the north central and northeastern piedmont. Even Halifax airport in Northampton had 21/30

My man! ? Lol

 

[BullCityWx]

My man! ? Lol

Well yall are leading the pack for once

 

[ghost1]

Check out this insane temp gradient

 

[BullCityWx]

View attachment 140687
Check out this insane temp gradient

Just once I want to experience a blue norther

 

[TheBatman]

Fwiw the 18z EPS/control looks better. In fact the height field suppression on the control is just as good, if not slightly better then last nights 00z run, which lead to a colder SE Vs last nights run, which would probably bode well for the storm. View attachment 140685

Probably even better for the western area too? Correct?

 

[Chazwin]

Just once I want to experience a blue norther

Probably the closest thing to it we’ve ever had in the NC Piedmont in my lifetime was when the backdoor cold front pushed through as the February 1994 ice storm approached. It was pretty amazing to go home from school one day and play basketball outside with temperatures in the upper 70s and then the next day be driving home from school in a raging sleet storm with temperatures in the mid 20s.

 

[BHS1975]

Just once I want to experience a blue norther

We get red southers all the time lol.


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[Brent]

Just once I want to experience a blue norther

It's gonna be hard to top the one in December 2022 here. We went from 40s to a flash freeze in 15 minutes. I had never seen a front like that and I've been in the Plains for 8 years now

 

[griteater]

12z UKMet had a weaker, more suppressed look with snow breaking out from Shreveport to Tupelo at the end. 1st image loop is comparison of the Euro vs. UKMet at the end at hr168

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I don't hate this look at the end of the 00Z ICON.

Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.

 

[UNCSC]

I don't hate this look at the end of the 00Z ICON.

Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.

Seems like the 16th is a no go for upstate and piedmont. Going to cut through alps or TN and cold air chasing moisture. We all know that never works anywhere in Carolina’s outside of the mountains. But the pattern coming up seems almost almost guaranteed to score. But we also are very good at screwing up great patterns.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS looks slightly faster/colder with the intrusion but not a huge change from last run so far

 

[TheBatman]

Here she comes.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[UNCSC]

Here she comes. View attachment 140713

If only this thing would dig it would be a great run for everyone

 

[JLL1973]

GFS looks slightly faster/colder with the intrusion but not a huge change from last run so far

Gfs quite a bit faster on the cold air entering the midsouth

 

[TheBatman]

If only this thing would dig it would be a great run for everyone

Yes it would. It did take baby steps towards it. I think imo.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[J.C.]

Its digging every so slightly more, more progressive.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Base of the trough is better so more overrunning precipitation. Solid run for the western SE/mid south so far

 

[TheBatman]

Hmm interesting on this. Redevelopment on the west side of Mississippi on this run.

 

[jrips27]

What do we have here

 

[TheBatman]

Base of the trough is better so more overrunning precipitation. Solid run for the western SE/mid south so far

Going to be a huge run for the snow maps for them areas.

 

[BullCityWx]

Seems like a nod to its ensembles

 

[TheBatman]

What do we have here View attachment 140718

The classic I-59 and north snow job.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[jrips27]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

A classic arctic front with anafrontal precip. A west of the apps special.

 

[KyloG]

GFS reminds me of late Jan 2014

 

[TheBatman]

View attachment 140719View attachment 140720View attachment 140721

Pretty good duration event. Almost 8-10 hours of snow for some areas.

 

[Carolina Jones]

Second half of January is looking interesting for actual winter weather.if we can survive the severe weather.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS reminds me of late Jan 2014
View attachment 140724

View attachment 140723

Was that when we had two events in a matter of days? Or was that Feb of 14?I remember the cold snap in 14. One of the best I can remember around here. Barney cold and the sky had a polar haze to it for days and days

 

[UNCSC]

GEFS is about to have some weenie runs for the 16th