Pattern Jammin January 2024

[iGRXY]

Maybe, but I don't think you can completely discount the GEFS argument in regard to the forcing it's showing, and what Fro showed above. It's got a strong pulse going in the Indian Ocean/bad phases that will want to pull the trough out west. EPS has the forcing too, but not as strong so that's likely the difference. Not smart enough to know which one is right, but it's usually the one that has less cold and snow in the SE. lol.

View attachment 139762
View attachment 139763

Yes it is wanting to show strong forcing in the Indian Ocean, which is likely overdone. If the EPS aligns with it that's one thing, but it's not. The EPS has a very low amped almost in the COD MJO.

 

[iGRXY]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS looks even better then the geps

 

[Ollie Williams]

EPS looks even better then the geps View attachment 139766View attachment 139767

This looks a lot like February 2021, but with lower heights in the Pacific and Atlantic.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks a lot like February 2021, but with lower heights in the Pacific and Atlantic.

Definitely Nino influence in the pacific with that jet more extended per the EPS, can see hints of rising exiting the MC, which is key for extending the jet

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[iGRXY]

Dropping the TPV over the southern Hudson will 100% get the job done. Now we just need the Nino to continue pumping S/W's across the south.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks a lot like February 2021, but with lower heights in the Pacific and Atlantic.

In my opinion the EPS looks far more like what was being modeled prior to the late jan 2019 cold shot

 

[iGRXY]

CAD source regions looks to more than make up for the slow start to winter.

 

[griteater]

View attachment 139768View attachment 139769

As far as the Pac Jet and Aleutian Low go, it looks like the GEPS/CMC is the most aggressive / farthest east with the Pac Jet and Aleutian Low. GEFS is the least aggressive / farthest west. EPS is in between.

GEPS has the largest Siberia High, so that looks like the culprit for adding some umph to the jet.

 

[Rain Cold]

In my opinion the EPS looks far more like what was being modeled prior to the late jan 2019 cold shot View attachment 139771View attachment 139772

You can clearly see the split in the jet out west. It's a picture perfect pattern for getting cold into the east and bringing energy across the south. #Verbatim2019™, the heights are compressed and so you don't get wave amplification. In reality, that's not a static image, and I'm sure there will be relaxing and pressing of the height field. A well-timed wave can, well, do well in this environment, should it come to fruition. ?

 

[Tarheelwx]

Not much signal there for a deep south or even midsouth snowstorm. At least not yet.
TW

 

[CaryWx]

We'll get the moisture we just need a good cold source with some decent staying power.

 

[griteater]

Not much signal there for a deep south or even midsouth snowstorm. At least not yet.
TW

We’re still looking to get in position where we can possibly, maybe run the hook and lateral play to forge a path to glory

 

[CaryWx]

We’re still looking to get in position where we can possibly, maybe run the hook and lateral play to forge a path to glory

Given where the mjo is currently we have the ball at the wrong end of the field.

 

[Mitch West]

We’re still looking to get in position where we can possibly, maybe run the hook and lateral play to forge a path to glory

It's a build up pattern & it starts this weekend.

LAWD WE COMIN

 

[Brent]

Well considering I've seen like 5 micro flakes here so far this winter this is impressive ?

 

[BullCityWx]

Broke the graph

 

[Stormlover]

What a pull back west on the cold

 

[LukeBarrette]

Living life on the edge