SE Canada vortex trend I can get behind. Now set the table one time
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
SE Canada vortex trend I can get behind. Now set the table one time
accu35
Member
Holy smokes
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Piece of energy over New Mexico with a baroclinic zone along the Gulf coast. Boy that would be a weenie run if those came together.
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2018 redux? December? Cant remember
accu35
Member
One more
Newfound gap obliterated
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
It would be crazy if Nashville can get down to -15 or even -20 !
This looks very familiar to January 2018. All we need is some Lee side enhancement
Cary_Snow95
Member
That was an awesome storm. Our qpf went up like 300% in the final 36 hours of model runs
Cary_Snow95
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
It really is remarkable how the mountains just stop all fronts from pushing into the Carolina’s. Just hits a wall and goes stagnant
NBAcentel
Member
Southern stream looks quiet this run with the vortex in place
Nah drop by trough into the SW deeper with a stronger western ridge and go full blown December 2017. Go Big or go home
accu35
Member
I’ll take em all
lexxnchloe
Member
Of course
This is why it’s so hard to see ANY wintry precipitation in South Carolina.
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EPS continues to trend colder and colder
TNweathergurl62
Member
It has got down -17 before. i was pregnant with my son. It was 1985 and a lot of snow on the ground. By 11 that morning the lights got dim all over Nashville proper. NES was asking their customers to cut back on all the power they could.
severestorm
Member
At least TN scores!
NBAcentel
Member
Gefs oth has a slighty weaker TPV in SE can, but the overall height field is more suppressed towards the SE so it’s colder so far
Cold air in place then the energy stops flowing. ?
accu35
Member
Here she comes
NBAcentel
Member
Looks like the GFS is on the much warmer side of its ens for the SE. gefs is much colder 
1994 but that’s it. Epic sledding and days of bitter cold. It was depressing how long it took to go below freezing.
Keeps trending colder but it just seems like the true cold air is struggling to get past the Apps. Either way, we need the energy to keep firing after the Mid South system. This place is going to be a dumpster fire if they get slammed with the same looking Winter storm they have got the last 3 Winters & the cold moves in & out with nothing to show for it East of the Apps.
But, positive vibes only.
But, positive vibes only.
23 man 23
Looking good for a lot west of the apps.
Just got to give it time and let the pattern marinate like a good steak. May mess up and over cook it on the grill, but it could be luscious if things come together. And we still have Fab Webb Feb to look forward to
NBAcentel
Member
18z GEFS 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Need the tail end of the arctic front to hang along the Gulf coast long enough to induce cyclogenesis, it's alot to ask for but possible I guess.
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NBAcentel
Member
Now this right here, interests me way further 
NBAcentel
Member
Latest weeklies goes from the expected initial overextension to a absolutely beautiful H5 pattern late jan/early Feb with a classic +PNA, which has been getting better each run 
Worth noting the EPS is already showing the overextension, we’re getting there ?
Worth noting the EPS is already showing the overextension, we’re getting there ?
Exactly what happened in Jan 2000. Little northern vort dropped straight down undetected on a stalled artic front in GOM and off she went.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Mods, sorry if banter- but if anyone has an Eric Webb level synopsis of how this happened (or even half that), I’d love to see this. Not sure if Larry (GaWx) is still around or not but I figured he’d know
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lexxnchloe
Member
Eric Webb level?
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I counted 20/30 members at TDF with at least a trace of snow within the 24 hour window provided by the GEFS. There’s nothing obscene accumulation wise but I would say that’s a pretty decent signal at this lead time.
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Signal seems to be the strongest in the border counties in the north central and northeastern piedmont. Even Halifax airport in Northampton had 21/30