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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Ukmet is carbon copy of canadian with lp location. 1 mb weaker. Cant see surface temps, precip type

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Pac Jet extending out past Hawaii underneath heavy blocking on the GFS. Not the end result we are looking for, but slowly improving and will be interesting to see GEPS / EPS later (in the morning)

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Myfrotho704_ said:
Charlotte is a degree or 2 away on globals from ZR, and northern tiers of CLT are right on the line. All it takes is some last minute adjustments
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If things keep trending the way the are, I imagine our area sees a couple hours of ZR in the morning while the foothills and NW Piedmont might see an all day event. This is honestly kind of scary, though we have a couple saving graces with the lack of snow cover and the fact that rates will get pretty heavy at some point.
 
Southern Track said:
Hate seeing the SE ridge. Have nightmares about that. I was concerned about the verification of the MJO impulse from the GEFS recently. It seems to be doing pretty well.

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We need that TPV to set up shop south of Hudson Bay under the NAO block. If so, it should mute if not overwhelm the MJO if the unfavorable phases don't venture too far outside of the COD for too long before propagating back into 7-8-1. Fingers crossed.
 
Well the RDPS said Nada all along for the 1/3 event for North GA event while the Nam was off its rocker advertising Glory, Nam folded to it. Today the 84 hr Nam is a nada burger at 6z for this weekend advertising cold rain, while the RDPS has several hours of freezing rain for many. Interesting to see if it wipes the mat clean again against the Nam on this event again. My money will be on the RDPS
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
We need that TPV to set up shop south of Hudson Bay under the NAO block. If so, it should mute if not overwhelm the MJO if the unfavorable phases don't venture too far outside of the COD for too long before propagating back into 7-8-1. Fingers crossed.
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Speak of the devil. Something just like this will do.
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Wild Weather Monger said:
Speak of the devil. Something just like this will do.
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Probably a little after that hopefully. The EPS looks like it wants to dump west even at the end but that may be more split flow lowering heights out west. The ridge over Alaska and Greenland with the TPV over the Hudson Bay doesn't scream west coast dump to me. But I guess it's still possible. We always seem to find new ways to screw up so idk
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