• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Jammin January 2024

?
gfs_mslp_wind_us_47.png
 
The really notable thing here is the midwest is going to be in the deep freeze for an extended, longer then we have seen in years. Here is another reinforcing shot after the next wave. Highs on the 20th.

1704775920535.png
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
Brrr.
gem_T2m_seus_35.png
Click to expand...
Hypothetically speaking, if a scenario like that were to happen this would rival January 2014. Coldest low was a record 4 degrees that month/year down here. Can’t remember the exact day, but I believe it was early January (weeks prior to SnowJam 2014)
 
If your East of the Mountains In NC , VA and upper SC winter is going to have to wait for snow. West or NW winds will dry any moisture up anywhere East of the Apps. West of Apps, Tenn., Northern ALA, Miss., Southern SC and GA should see some snow if you look at the overall Jet structure and High placement , and more than likely we will see several l clippers during this period then those close to the gulf will probably see some small disturbance riding south along gulf during this Arctic outbreak. Just going off past history

Until I see a high pressure funneling the cold air down the east side of APPs. and not the brutal cold , we are in a holding pattern for winter storms that produce SNOW. Things can change fast but as of now this is how i see it.
 
EPS was more amped and therefore warmer. There’s a handful of deep southern slider types so that bumped the mean up for a lot of folks. But you can see the signal that this is probably an Upper SE event. Still lots of time for changes

5B0BB19C-028B-4F1E-9928-7BA9A9460632.pngC38D0DEF-7D29-43B7-904C-07706B7317A5.png
 
Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
 
Mitch West said:
Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
Click to expand...
yeah im hoping we can something to make it east of apps before all is said and done
 
Mitch West said:
Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
Click to expand...
It may have been modified in Columbia but it certainly wasnt up this way
 
Mitch West said:
If you compare it to places West of the apps, it was. Places in North GA & Eastern TN didn’t get out the single digits for highs..
Click to expand...
That was a function of those places having snow cover, though. We had no snow cover and it was 17 degrees on christmas eve when I was driving through Winston Salem around noon that day which is more impressive imo.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top