CNCsnwfan1210
Member
@BullCityWx do you have both ensemble (EPS GEFS) temp graphs for KJNX?
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
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10/30 at JNX but that was up from 2/30 at 12z ?
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Need to keep that up for sure10/30 at JNX but that was up from 2/30 at 12z
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JLL1973
Member
Midsouth is headed for the deep freeze. Ouch
NBAcentel
Member
Fwiw the 18z EPS/control looks better. In fact the height field suppression on the control is just as good, if not slightly better then last nights 00z run, which lead to a colder SE Vs last nights run, which would probably bode well for the storm. 
My man! ? Lol
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Well yall are leading the pack for once
ghost1
Member
Check out this insane temp gradient
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Just once I want to experience a blue norther
Probably even better for the western area too? Correct?
Probably the closest thing to it we’ve ever had in the NC Piedmont in my lifetime was when the backdoor cold front pushed through as the February 1994 ice storm approached. It was pretty amazing to go home from school one day and play basketball outside with temperatures in the upper 70s and then the next day be driving home from school in a raging sleet storm with temperatures in the mid 20s.
BHS1975
Member
Brent
Member
It's gonna be hard to top the one in December 2022 here. We went from 40s to a flash freeze in 15 minutes. I had never seen a front like that and I've been in the Plains for 8 years now
12z UKMet had a weaker, more suppressed look with snow breaking out from Shreveport to Tupelo at the end. 1st image loop is comparison of the Euro vs. UKMet at the end at hr168
I don't hate this look at the end of the 00Z ICON.
Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.
Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.
UNCSC
Member
Seems like the 16th is a no go for upstate and piedmont. Going to cut through alps or TN and cold air chasing moisture. We all know that never works anywhere in Carolina’s outside of the mountains. But the pattern coming up seems almost almost guaranteed to score. But we also are very good at screwing up great patterns.I don't hate this look at the end of the 00Z ICON.
Arctic air pressing down with west to wsw flow aloft with a little bagginess in the SW US.
NBAcentel
Member
GFS looks slightly faster/colder with the intrusion but not a huge change from last run so far
Here she comes. 
UNCSC
Member
If only this thing would dig it would be a great run for everyone
JLL1973
Member
Gfs quite a bit faster on the cold air entering the midsouth
Yes it would. It did take baby steps towards it. I think imo.
Its digging every so slightly more, more progressive.
NBAcentel
Member
Base of the trough is better so more overrunning precipitation. Solid run for the western SE/mid south so far
Hmm interesting on this. Redevelopment on the west side of Mississippi on this run. 
What do we have here 
Going to be a huge run for the snow maps for them areas.
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Seems like a nod to its ensembles
The classic I-59 and north snow job.
NBAcentel
Member
A classic arctic front with anafrontal precip. A west of the apps special.
Pretty good duration event. Almost 8-10 hours of snow for some areas.
Second half of January is looking interesting for actual winter weather.if we can survive the severe weather.
Was that when we had two events in a matter of days? Or was that Feb of 14?I remember the cold snap in 14. One of the best I can remember around here. Barney cold and the sky had a polar haze to it for days and days
UNCSC
Member
GEFS is about to have some weenie runs for the 16th
NBAcentel
Member
Big time western ridge on the GFS this run 
