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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
AM has lost his luster the past few years. He is right as much as Brick.
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Back in the day I would look at this map with a wide continental trough and think “wow, great opportunity for a good overrunning winter storm”. Those have become a unicorn, so it will probably just be cool and wet.
weatherfide
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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You've got to with persistence with regards to weather patterns. Western troughs have been persistent and likely will remain so. Some day it may change, but until it surprises you, keep going with the trend.
lexxnchloe
Member
Im still waiting for winter to show up, lol
I don't think so...but yeah a deep south snow is a tough call.
597DM
Member
tractor girl
Member
It will be glorious because we're used to seeing it go the other way with climo and NW trends.
It’s not a torch, but it’s above normal. I’ll take it. Yeah fro is posting warminista maps again. Come at me @weenietag 
Bro, heck no. At least wait until late February when it's 80 degrees. You know things are getting bad when we start seeing the Golfing emojis with the ole "pErFeCt GoLf WeAtHeR"
weatherfide
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New England is torching! 12 over in Maine! I bet they love saving money on snow plowing and snow removal not to mention savings on heating fuels.
If that is the best you've got then we are okay. Those won't feel much different.
GFS is getting this thing stuck out west, exactly like February 2021 
Flotown
Member
canadian and gfs are just a smidge different lol
Big time southeast ridge incoming this run 
griteater
Member
Yeah, Canadian is completely different. No idea which one is correct. Could easily say the one that gives us the SE ridge, but that doesn't feel like a good approach either.
What we need is the -NAO ridge to be dominant over the pacific ridge. Stronger -NAO ridge and we undercut. Stronger Aleutian-AK ridge and it gets stuckYeah, Canadian is completely different. No idea which one is correct. Could easily say the one that gives us the SE ridge, but that doesn't feel like a good approach either.
griteater
Member
The difference seems to lie in the AK ridge. The modeling that goes big with the AK ridge are tucking the W Canada trough forcefully down into the western U.S. We want the Greenland Block to be the dominant entity, not the AK ridge as it is too far west and not oriented into W Canada
When there is a toss-up, go with persistence.Yeah, Canadian is completely different. No idea which one is correct. Could easily say the one that gives us the SE ridge, but that doesn't feel like a good approach either.
