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Pattern Jammin January 2024

NCSNOW said:
Yep Grit, spot on. Duration is what we want to maximize. Dont have to have the full throttle effect to score the white stuff. The longer we can keep window open with just beyond the threshold cold, the better our chances. The Max time we've been making it between qpf events is about 5 days. So if you can create a 7 to 8 day window of opportunity with Cold air in pkace, then odds are in our favor. The 3 day artic blast thats in and out want get it done, even though it looks more impressive on the thermometer. Im more interested in what the ruler shows.
Click to expand...
Exactly!!! December 2022 was a great example of the cold dumping all in at once with no payoff and pattern that went to garbage right after
 
Canadian next Friday; All 3 Ops have the storm. Canadian furthest south.
Its gonna be the one wrong, no doubt, but would be the mother of all Upsets in model world if it could pull the rabat out of the hat just once.
0z Euro is up in the lakes, GFS in between Euro and Canadian. Ill look and see if there is one ensemble anywhere with a few outliers like the Candian OP.

prateptype-imp.conus.png
 
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