The Euro is going for it again mid-month. Today is an even stronger signal than yesterday. Considering the current warming and vortex stretch is already partially coupled to the troposphere, this is getting interesting as all get out.
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Not surprising to see those trends before a big cold shot typically would expect amplification with warmer out east with SW flow, colder out west as you get closer, as long as H5 still looks good
griteater
Member
Here are the Euro Weekly images for: Jan 14-21, Jan 21-28, Jan 28 - Feb 4
It doesn't want to hold the blocky look with eastern trough into Jan 21-28. Hopefully the block goes big and is slow to breakdown. Late Jan into early Feb looks pretty good as long as the jet doesn't over-extend and it's cold enough.
This one just feels different. I really don’t think we kick the can forever this time. I base this off nothing but a gut feeling. This place will be popping in a few weeks.
accu35
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You’re right, i have the feeling we are going to see the winter we haven’t had in a while.
Broken024
Member
i don’t know if this is good or not, but it’s cool to look at.
I’d imagine the AK ridge/-EPO might encourage some +NAMT which would destroy the -NAO temporarily. But another cool thing would be getting the -NAO to retrograde to NW Canada, but this would probably push another extension of the TPV back towards Alaska, and get us to the +EPO regime again, which the weeklies depict. I’d say if we have a shot, Is when the -NAO starts to weaken/retrograde and the vortex starts to move onHere are the Euro Weekly images for: Jan 14-21, Jan 21-28, Jan 28 - Feb 4
It doesn't want to hold the blocky look with eastern trough into Jan 21-28. Hopefully the block goes big and is slow to breakdown. Late Jan into early Feb looks pretty good as long as the jet doesn't over-extend and it's cold enough.
February strong signal for pacific forcing/forcing back into the NH
Here comes 18z gts late run eye candy. 
Nevermind it looks like a no go too. ??
Dang on the late run cold through. 
griteater
Member
It's a good run overall. TPV up under the block takes a slow trek west to east across S Canada. It's a bit compact and doesn't send enough cold well south initially, but overall, that's better than it plunging south in a big arctic blast (1 and done). I'd like to see it take that slow trek west to east then have the Greenland block hold firm there
NCSNOW
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Yep Grit, spot on. Duration is what we want to maximize. Dont have to have the full throttle effect to score the white stuff. The longer we can keep window open with just beyond the threshold cold, the better our chances. The Max time we've been making it between qpf events is about 5 days. So if you can create a 7 to 8 day window of opportunity with Cold air in pkace, then odds are in our favor. The 3 day artic blast thats in and out want get it done, even though it looks more impressive on the thermometer. Im more interested in what the ruler shows.
Honestly, if I was a betting man, the I-20 crew probably has the best shot during later jan as the MJO moves east and start progressing things, if you can squeeze the TPV southeast, more so then Feb with the pac trough/+PNA pattern that favors Carolina/mid Atlantic KUs
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Itryatgolf
Member
The 18zgfs had a 1091mb hp over Greenland. Probably overdone but very interesting. Not often we get the trifecta of blocks.
I mean, why not? It would probably cut, but man I'd like to see another panel.
Flotown
Member
ont doubt it ..snow to north snow to south...sounds bout right
It’s nice seeing that cold piece trapped on the other side of the hemisphere. That’s how I know we’re right on pace for another dumpster fire. Hang tight.