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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Stevo24 said:
Looks real good. So show me that fizzle out into nothing boys.
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On the next frame it’s snow from I-77 east in NC and the most eastern portions of the SC upstate. Probably not a lot but it’s under 528 line so it would probably be some higher ratio stuff. A second area of precip holds back over the southern half of Alabama and Georgia with a stripe of snow on its north… it drops down and looks like it evolves into the coastal that fires up 36 hours later bring snow to the coastal sections
 
metwannabe said:
Congrats to those in NW Piedmont, Apps and western SE sections will be in order for the first system. This one around the 21st will be ours on the east side. Right where we want it 8-9 days out

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From the canonical -NAO perspective, this one certainly fits the bill. Still doesn't mean we can't score twice though!
 
tractor girl said:
Are any of the upcoming systems going to be a happy ending for areas in central GA (just north of I-20 line)?
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Either of the two systems next week could be. Still TBD. I think the odds are more favorable for the second opportunity on the 19th. But just having two chances in 1 week is fun to track!
 
NoSnowATL said:
believe in the table setter theory.
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My area does much better with solid cold levels already in place versus timing from cold delivery from the northwest. I can almost guarantee the cold will not make it far enough southeast to produce snow, sleet or freezing rain. It will just be plain ole rain in Atlanta south. Alpharetta, White and Gainesville, GA and points northwest might be cold enough. Out west near Buchanan, Dallas to Kennesaw will have a shot, too. They have some elevation to help them. Everyone else in GA can start looking to the 20th for another possible chance (though the 0z Euro said it will be a cutter).
 
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Icon says rain for the second system later next week for Atlanta. There were GEFS members with this solution as well and the Euro at 0Z had a rainstorm, too. That seems like a good probability at this range.
 
GFS looks like maybe it wants to try and see the vortmax/energy coming down through BC now? Here is a little difference btwn the 00z and 12 GFS. 00z *from last night* is 1st and new 12z FRI GFS is 2nd. Just a little difference you think? LOL. Why is this important? IMHO that energy is going to come down and bring with the last piece of the Southern Canada Vortex to collapse the pattern out and produce a big winter storm in the SE.




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Yall like those 1051 HP's. Love to see this sitting over NY/PA state line and a Miller A cruising along GOM shoreline. Been a while! Be some good static electricity in the house if this panned out

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KyloG said:
Day 7-8 deal will be Raleigh's chance...almost fool proof

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Look how the GEFS is trying to play catch up with the lowering of heights along the west coast. That should hopefully let another piece of energy come down the pike to finish the pattern and give yall a storm there.
 
deltadog03 said:
Look how the GEFS is trying to play catch up with the lowering of heights along the west coast. That should hopefully let another piece of energy come down the pike to finish the pattern and give yall a storm there.
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Do you see any chances at all for upstate sc coming up or are we gonna have to wait for Feb?
 
deltadog03 said:
Look how the GEFS is trying to play catch up with the lowering of heights along the west coast. That should hopefully let another piece of energy come down the pike to finish the pattern and give yall a storm there.
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So it sounds like two more chances for NC and then the pacific jet flushes the cold away and then it rebuilds in early February for one last hoo-rah?
 
I think if there is allowed to be any energy to come down through the pac NW, it's possible that it helps one last shot *maybe next weekend?* for a system in the SE. That would include almost everyone** There has to be a lot of moving pieces to make that happen, but I think its very much on the table before the PAC air flushes out the Arctic air.
 
I think if we miss our shot next week we're done for January imo. Ensembles look like crap after next week. Hopefully they'll get back by first week for February. But man, after the last several years I have so little faith in a cold February. Was really hoping something would come together in January.

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