Brent
Member
Wow 
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Outside the southeast thread
This isn’t far fetched at all and honestly it follows the typical progression of an El Niño. Also it’s very much like Webb has indicated we should see things play out.Euro Control says yes! I really don't think the heavy blocking shown here is far fetched. We just gotta somehow get the trough to kick east
It’s perfect up top. If that doesn’t translate down south I’ll hang it upSaid trough then slides east and unleashes the mother lode? I'm trying lol.
griteater
Member
GFS was a little colder this run 
This is the run to run change map for 850mb temps:
This is the run to run change map for 850mb temps:
Seems like these models are wack and have no idea what’s going on.GFS was a little colder this run
This is the run to run change map for 850mb temps:
griteater
Member
GFS did the same move as the Euro Control
That honestly is a look that could produce a Texas Panhandle to Outer Banks winter storm.GFS did the same move as the Euro Control
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
I know it is super long range, but even at super long range this is ridiculous cold!!! the last 66 hours every state in the continental United states (except Fla and S. Carolina) has some location that never rises above freezing.GFS was a little colder this run
This is the run to run change map for 850mb temps:
I ain’t got no room!
tennessee storm
Member
It change 0z lol gfs showing no consistency at all
That's strong signals right there, and like JB says the cold will push! I think the PNA goes positive on down the road too...
Psalm 148:8
Member
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Um.. look dude.. it hasn’t been a good snow pattern here since you moved away from here! Bring your tail home and bring the snow with it!!!
Windergawx
Member
no we are all going to move to the mid west
EthanLovesWeather
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What you forgot to leave out was the PNA. It’s headed strongly negative. Without a positive PNA, something trademark of February 2015, cold temperatures will have trouble reaching the southeastern United States and combining with the moisture. only marginal cool stationed in the southeast in will exist in which the strongly negative PNA will drive the cold to the southwestern US with a considerable but not excessive ridge over the southeast (thanks to El Niño). While this seems counterintuitive to the current state of Enso (El Nino), the truth is that the atmosphere is still under the “muscle memory” of the last three years predominating La Niña. After or around Jan 20th is when Webber believes the trough will eye the southeast and I agree to some extent, but the question remains whether it will be a dry cold, as which occurred in Dec of 2022. The point I’m trying to make is that I believe before the south sees snow the core region where well below normal temps exists over southwest Canada will have to at least moderate and/or shift to slightly above normal temps/heights if not above normal heights (+PNA -EPO).
Brent
Member
Yeah I know and I get it but like the snow climo is just awful over there