Parker
Member
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Pattern Jammin January 2023
- Thread starter Goose88
- Start date
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
If I were going snow chasing this weekend near Gatlinburg I’d probably try to get somewhere closer to Cosby/Foothills parkway area, unless you can find a cabin up near Ober Gatlinburg with some elevation.
Other areas if I were chasing:
Watauga - Todd
Avery- Elk Park or Banner Elk
Mitchell - Buladean
Yancey/Madison- Wolf Laurel
Other areas if I were chasing:
Watauga - Todd
Avery- Elk Park or Banner Elk
Mitchell - Buladean
Yancey/Madison- Wolf Laurel
hrrr has a couple of sleet pockets tomorrow morning
NCSNOW
Member
- Joined
- Dec 2, 2016
- Messages
- 10,042
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Our poster in Erwin has to be licking his chops. From Watuga lake back up to Boone on the west side would cash in nice on the gfs
Flotown
Member
lord willing ,going to gatlinburg
So KATL has started the month at 14.2F above the average. Factoring in the GFS through 1/23 would leave KATL at +9.8F, a solid second to that point of the month if that forecast is in the neighborhood.
I've looked back at the data going to around 1880 or so, and here are the warmest Januarys on record:
1. 1950 +10.6
2. 1880 +9.5
3. 1974 +8.4
4. 1937 +8.2
5. 1907 +7.4
6. 2017 +7.2
7. 1949 +7.0
8. 1890 +6.2
GFS Forecast for KATL
I've looked back at the data going to around 1880 or so, and here are the warmest Januarys on record:
1. 1950 +10.6
2. 1880 +9.5
3. 1974 +8.4
4. 1937 +8.2
5. 1907 +7.4
6. 2017 +7.2
7. 1949 +7.0
8. 1890 +6.2
GFS Forecast for KATL
Boom! A couple $150 condos opened up on top of Beech Mtn for next weekend. I grabbed one with free cancellation til Friday. My favorite type of rental. We hug all week 
I got a chance of a pellet or two in morning. Love my freezing rain chances temps in the mid/upper 30s. Lol
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Hands down best setup of the winter so far for the NC mountains. If this doesn’t do it for favored areas then it’s tough sledding from here..and by tough sledding I mean sledding on grass and asphalt
Really pulling for that Canadian crawler solution..that would be a banger
Really pulling for that Canadian crawler solution..that would be a banger
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I always laugh when winter is thrown away Jan 7th. Monthly modeling isn’t accurate. If so then we would have our forecasts correct. We can’t trust anything more than 7-8 days out. I’ll stick w Charlotte and our 1848 record of measurable ice or snow every year since then. Look forward to it!!! Cheers all!!
Parker
Member
Significant uptick on the 18z GEFS as far as the snowfall mean goes for the mountains. It almost doubled on the mean and is more in line with the EPS.
Parker
Member
I read on Ober gatlinburgs website that their last natural snowfall was on 4/10/22…
That’s really remarkable considering I’ve seen the mountains receive measurable snow in October, November, and a December many times. Just shows how bad it’s been for the mountains so far
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Hankjones
Member
That's incredibly depressing
Pac jet from Siberia to England. What a winter!
I'm quite surprised they are still in business as their peak elevation is only something like 3k I believe. Cataloochee struggles for natural snow at 5600', but at least they invested heavily in their snowmaking capabilities.
They had snow almost 2 weeks ago.
Good to see consistency from the eps getting the building blocks in place. We'd still need time after this image to get the ridge poleward and tap some real cold but I'm not discouraged
griteater
Member
Thankfully its ensemble doesn't agree. But yeah, this feels like we are being sent to a Pac Jet Rehab Center, and we're trying to take our first steps toward recovery
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