From BMX
.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 1122 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020/
Starting to get mildly concerned about the convective activity
developing in SW Alabama as it rotates northward through the
western portions of Central Alabama. As of writing it appears as
if Laura`s circulation center is just a bit too far west to
include a threat of severe weather for this afternoon. The winds
in the lowest several km are still unidirectional. However, this
will need to be monitored closely later today as the main
circulation center begins to shift more east with time. It will
become a delicate balance between how far east it shifts versus
the forward northward motion through the afternoon and evening
timeframe.
We will maintain an outside threat for tomorrow as Laura moves
north of the area. There will be 30 to 35 kts of shear over the
northern half of the state, with a decent amount of instability
in the afternoon and early evening. This could certainly organize
any rain bands into supercellular structures with tornadoes
possible.