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Tropical Hurricane Laura (Post Landfall & Inland Effects)

Models so far fairly anemic over the Carolinas aside from right along the NC/VA border. Surprised at this given the southerly fetch and pressure falls into a system passing by to the north should set up well for convective development and enhance the Piedmont trough.
 
This would be a nasty little event if the icon verified, sfc temps ahead of this line is in the upper 80s along with dews probably in the 70s which suggest some cape and solid 3km lapse rates AB867323-6368-47F8-B4F1-E38D07ED892B.png26BAA0CC-49F9-420E-9BF8-329BF66A3F92.png5AF862D5-CD72-4437-AC96-E704C50B44B8.png
 
18z Icon was actually a little stronger with the trough associated with Laura over NC and maybe a few inches south. The NHC discussion says that it'll nice east yet the track is more NE. No idea
 
Well that certainly looks like MBY would get at least clipped. When’s the last time the Carolinas had a big severe day from a cane that didn’t landfall in the Carolinas?
Possibly 2004 from Frances. That storm came in over Fla and gave the Carolina's quite a few tornadoes. Not the last time of course, but Danny in 1985 produced a tornado that did a lot of damage on the northwest side of Spartanburg.

Edit: It could have been Ivan later on in 2004, but I think the worst of that outbreak was in VA.
 
If the EURO or UKMET are right my area for any severe would be Eastern TN/Western third of VA/Western third of NC and a little smidge of NW SC.
 
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