Wow these kinematics and parameters, LRs and skinny cape but low topped stuff would easily spin in this, 
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Tropical Hurricane Laura (Post Landfall & Inland Effects)
- Thread starter SASQUATCH
- Start date
Yeah, the more I look into Saturday the wearier I am becoming. No, we're not going to be 1 hundredth of a percent close to what LA is facing. But we could have our fair share of power outages and fallen trees. It's been wet, so a couple of gusts over 50 is going to bring down trees/powerlines. Add some brief spinups to the picture, things could get interesting. And IF and that's a big if, it wouldn't shock me to see an isolated EF-2 somewhere between GA and VA, depending on how destabilized we get on Saturday.
Shaggy
Member
icon stays through NC as is moves east. icon, ukie, and euro are all south of the nhc projection here.
Shaggy
Member
Ukmet goes right down the the border of Va/NC barely on the VA side
Downeastnc
Member
Euro a bit further south with the center on the NC side of the VA/NC border this run...
Thanks [mention]SD [/mention]
Looks like a breezy end to the week and start of the weekend across the Carolinas. With that vorticity and lift I wouldn’t rule out a isolated severe storm or tornado.
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Looks like a breezy end to the week and start of the weekend across the Carolinas. With that vorticity and lift I wouldn’t rule out a isolated severe storm or tornado.
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Yeah, again if the Euro verifies, more intact and it's track (which seems to have shifted ever so slightly north) should still see a good amount of wind and even a few tornado reports. Winds 50-60 mph couple thousand feet up, not gonna take much to get some of that to the surface, bulk shear not too shabby either
Dang that's a sizable tornado watch
Threat moves to northern Ms/Al and Tn tomorrow
Carolina's/Va and up the mid-Atlantic on Saturday
Carolina's/Va and up the mid-Atlantic on Saturday
Anybody got the 6z euro?
Wish I did sounded awesome
Where did it sound good at? I haven't seen any mention of it. Maybe I missed it?
Shaggy
Member
is it just me or is it making that NE turn awfully early.
Sure looks like it and looks like it's on the right side of the NHC cone
Shaggy
Member
I mean just eyeballing it it looks to barely clip SE Arkansas as it heads into Mississippi
Man it looks like on WV loop, I mean at this stage you don't really see "wobbles" so I'm gonna say it's moving N/NE
Cadi40
Member
It may be moving a tad NE but I doubt it’s going to miss Arkansas.
Well, this may have just got a little more interesting
He said clip it, not miss it, and we're talking about the actual center..... I mean they obviously are going to feel significant effects just seems to have turned a little sooner
Shaggy
Member
Might not miss it but it isnt heading towards western Arkansas and the boot of Missouri like the forecast showed.
Cadi40
Member
I get what he mean’t, and it surely is moving on the eastern side of the cone.
blueheronNC
Member
Not seeing the hard NE motion. Looks just east of due north. Optical illusion of dry air being sucked around into eastern part of circulation makes it look like the "eye" is tracking NE but that's really just an expanding dry slug.
EDIT: drew circles tracking the actual center on radar.
EDIT: drew circles tracking the actual center on radar.
Moving on the 3k. Might be just early enough to not allow for complete destabilization 
A little bit of UH as it moves through. 
I think you all are correct. The zonal flow seems to be further south then thought. [mention]SD [/mention] [mention]Cold Rain [/mention] [mention]metwannabe [/mention] Looking at 200.
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Yeah I think the US1 corridor and east looks good particularly east of 95
NHC refuses to bring that cone here lmao.
SPC says in discussion that NC and maybe southern Virginia will have the highest tornado chances. So I may not be in the bullseye here maybe closer to Charlotte to Raleigh corridor.
I personally don't think the tornado threat for Tn/Al/Ga is getting enough talk for tomorrow.
Once these bands get going tomorrow they should stay semi discrete in Al/Ga and rotate. Probably better shear across these areas tomorrow than we will see Saturday.
Wouldn't be surprised to see this upgraded/increased. Almost some spring like vibes when you look at it
I feel like even if we were to get rid of the TC itself, there would still be severe along the cold front itself, only issue is forcing and maybe there would be less wind shear, I wonder if something could fire along the front itself but I doubt it 
