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Tropical Hurricane Idalia

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LOCATION...27.4N 84.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...29 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
It seems like the winds at reporting stations are never as high as the maximum sustained winds in a hurricane. What are the odds any station in Florida is going to report sustained winds of 100+ mph ?
 
It seems like the winds at reporting stations are never as high as the maximum sustained winds in a hurricane. What are the odds any station in Florida is going to report sustained winds of 100+ mph ?
Probably zero considering the sparsely inhabited coastline and compact nature of this storm.
 
The euro don't seem to do well with strength of hurricanes. The gfs was always 10-15 mb stronger and it will be closer to reality before all set and done
 
0z NAM a lot weaker at landfall and comes off the SC coast at about SAV! FD5546F2-8389-4D23-98A1-640D8D0E59F8.png1E0E2F0E-5044-44E4-BBAC-36A89324D427.png
 
NHC now calling for a Cat 4 landfall

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.0N 83.9W...ON COAST
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 60SW 60NW.
 
11:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 29
Location: 27.7°N 84.5°W
Moving: N at 18 mph
Min pressure: 958 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
 
213341_peak_surge.png
 
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