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Tropical Hurricane Idalia

...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 84.5W
ABOUT 100 MI...175 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES
 
Recon data shows how lopsided the storm is, N and NW side pretty compact but the east side is where the crazy stuff is.

Screenshot_20230830_020732_Chrome.jpg
 
4:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 30
Location: 28.9°N 84.1°W
Moving: NNE at 17 mph
Min pressure: 941 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph
 
Last few frames showing warming tops right on the SE side of the center, dry air or beginnings of a ERC maybe...wonder if we get another pass before the current recon leaves....

Screenshot_20230830_044229_Chrome.jpg
 
Category 4
5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 30
Location: 29.1°N 84.1°W
Moving: NNE at 18 mph
Min pressure: 940 mb
Max sustained: 130 mph

032734_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


 
Nah that's dry air. Huge gap in precip in eastern quad. That's a given with all the dry air around to the west.


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To late to really change much but would be surprised if it got stronger at this point.

Also looked like a decent due north motion there as the heaviest banding moved to the west side of the center.
 
I don't think it's too late.
Sis is on way to Vald and not happy bout radar. Asking is it even safe to drive but going anyway. Lord! Mom still doesn't want to go and worried bout leaving her car. Really? Unreasonable. We shall hope for the best. Hurricane warning on the TWC did lower wind gusts from 125 to 110. Just for the fact of power outages alone is reason to not sit there. Was it Matthew when Albany was so bad a few years ago and look how far inland that is. My sis said she should have evacuated then and couldn't believe how bad it was. Probably going to be rough in Vald and now because it was just 30 to 40 with gusts to 75 until late last night, not a whole lot of time to wrap their heads around this all. Thanks
 
I'm not saying there won't be bad winds inland but you going to have to be eyewall to see it, right now places like Perry FL are gusting to maybe 40 and they are only 60 miles from the center. The wind field with gust into high end tropical or cane strength is very small...so it's going to take being inside the decaying eyewall to really get big wind and that's going to be a fairly small area.
 
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