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Tropical Hurricane Ida

this doesn’t have time to become a Dorian

I don’t know, I’ve watched too many RICs concerning the loop current in the gulf over the years and I’ll never discount anything.

I’ll never forget the eye clearing out on Katrina around midnight when it exploded. Still have that gif on my pc.
 
Hurricane hunters going back into Ida, curious to see what they find here. If I had to guess, Ida is probably a mid or high grade 1. The eyewall looks basically fully intact if not, nearly so. A major hurricane by morning is definitely on the table
Also Ida is expected to expand and grow in size tremendously. I can see Hurricane/TS force winds exceeding well away from the center. Places in MS/Al will feel the effect much more than any normal hurricane.
 
Yeah, I think this thing is going to be a strong 4 or 5.

But a Dorian?

Nope.

Ida probably won't stall.

But that doesn't mean that this won't turn into a crisis, as it looks like it probably will.
Remember ida is going be crossing into warmer water than Dorian actually traveled … we see
 
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Every model except HWRF and HMON are coming off Cuba at 990 or higher. HWRF AND HMON are coming off at 986 and 983. Will be looking in 00z models to see if it makes a difference in the end game for all the other models.
 
They should have designated this a PTC long before they did and put a dot on landfall to have gotten a warning out and could have done this 24 to 48 hours before actual classification. The model support was there for them to do this since Wednesday.

I think they wanted to get HHs into the storm at least once before making that call, but I agree 100% that Ida deserved a PTC designation early-on. The other major issue I noticed was that they waited much too long to get HHs into Ida, in addition to missions bringing HH planes to air force bases closer to the storm. This one was a huge threat.

I also find it completely unjustified due to all the BS TC designations of non-tropical or weak Tropical entities NHC has made over the past decade upon the basis that there was a potential threat to human life. How many non-vital designations were made over the past fews years? The argument in support of such designations made sense in respect to storms like Sandy that could lost TC status due to baroclonic forces, even though they retain strong tropical dynamics that could endanger the lives of residents that otherwise might ignore a post-tropical storm. Ida is one of those times that an early warning is completely necessary and vital to save lives.
 
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