Yep if it is it jumped a good bit W, hot towers NE of that are near the center. IR can play tricks on the eyes
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Tropical Hurricane Ida
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Tornadocane
Member
One of the HH missions has winds of 90 MPH at Flight and Surface levels. All of is't data just flooded out in the last few minutes.
Ida (Aug. 28, 2021) - HDOB - NOAA2 - Atlantic Non-Tasked Miss. WA - Tropical Atlantic
View decoded High-Density Observations (HDOB) available for (August 28, 2021) from NOAA2 on a non-tasked mission, the first flight of a sequence of non-tasked research missions into this system, in the North Atlantic basin.
tropicalatlantic.com
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
First pass through the NE quad confirms that Ida is still a hurricane. FL winds at 700mb around 75 kt supports ~65-70 kt cat 1.
Tornadocane
Member
This is the link to the HH flight data.
Ida (2021) - HDOB - Atlantic AF Miss. 6 - Tropical Atlantic
View decoded High-Density Observations (HDOB) available for Ida in 2021 from Air Force mission 6 in the North Atlantic basin.
tropicalatlantic.com
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
New microwave pass looks somewhat favorable for Ida to kickstart an eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC) with spiral banding wrapping more than halfway around the small, young eyewall. Curious if we'll see it meld together, dissipate, or be a long arduous struggle as is more often the case w/ much stronger major hurricanes that encounter land interaction like this.
Henry2326
Member
If it comples an EWRC tonight, is there enough time that it will do again closer to landfall?
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah we should get a good idea on its heading after they drop the center a few times.....does appear to be east of all guidance though for at least the short term.
Tornadocane
Member
Recon found lowest pressures over 84W and 23N, so I think you may be bit too far NE with your pimple. It's on the extreme east side of solutions, but I don't think it's outside the wet spaghetti.
Also, I don't think they actually got to the true COC. On Tropical Tidbits, the image of the HH pass suggests that they couldn't reach the lowest pressures, because they were not able to fly any closer to Cuba. The HH site suggests lowest pressure was further S and W of tropical tidbits.
and that might be true for sure. The center might migrate more toward that deepest convection SW side for sure.
creating a dangerous precedent having the pump stations work based on if they have electricity during the storm, can imagine it’s a national security risk too if hacked. I hope people don’t come to rely on the pump stations based on Ida or any storm it’s prob best to get out @Webberweather53
Tornadocane
Member
Hey... I know you're a Met and I know I get a lot wrong, but I'm just extremely confident about this being closer to Cuba. They literally had to stop and change courses as they were nearing the lowest pressures by the Cuban Coast, and that 991-993Mb data has SE to N and NE winds of 30-35 MPH. I think next pass it will be off the coast.
I don't know why no one is posting the Cuban Radar. It's probably the best resource to detect the COC. Wouldn't that settle things?
oh hell I get plenty of things wrong...tag or no tag...hahah
Storm5
Member
Cadi40
Member
The ridge is always underestimated. ALWAYS. The major east shift into Alabama/Florida panhandle you guys are dying to see will likely never occur or verify. Sure there’s always a small chance and forecasting mistakes are made, but I am extremely doubtful in a major shift at this point in time. The wishcasting so blatantly obvious. I am 85% confident that this will be an LA land falling storm.