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Tropical Hurricane Ida

See it time and time again with poleward tugging, battlegrounds when Ida is in blowup mode how the cyclone is tugged slightly right. When we had a phase overnight, where it was "repairing" itself so to speak, it seemed to turn a bit left (315-320 degrees NW)..

But overall, Ida has been consistently on the right edge of the consensus. This could put New Orleans directly on the eyewall or eye itself if these trends continue.
 
Stormsfury said:
See it time and time again with poleward tugging, battlegrounds when Ida is in blowup mode how the cyclone is tugged slightly right. When we had a phase overnight, where it was "repairing" itself so to speak, it seemed to turn a bit left (315-320 degrees NW)..

But overall, Ida has been consistently on the right edge of the consensus. This could put New Orleans directly on the eyewall or eye itself if these trends continue.
Click to expand...
Btw, don't look at the steering currents if this can get to the 940's range. Lol. If so, they are def east of central LA
 
Looks like another area of disturbed weather may develop later this week in the same portion of the Caribbean where Ida developed late last week. Genesis also looks similar to Ida w/ monsoon trough, tropical wave, upper low over the Bahamas, and Kelvin Wave all interacting to potentially yield development in the western Caribbean. Environment is there as is some model support. Not quite as confident (yet) in this one as I was w/ pre-Ida, but it's going to have much better timing w/ the Kelvin Wave (most TCs form about 2 days after passage). Here's a mini-thread I made on it. Hopefully, this one stays down near Central America...

 
deltadog03 said:
Btw, don't look at the steering currents if this can get to the 940's range. Lol. If so, they are def east of central LA
Click to expand...

Well, I'm a bit anxious to see what next RECON will find. Apparently, I'm seeing mesovorticity action in the eye.. plus with the last convective blowup on the inner northern eye, you could actually see anvil blowoff forced down into the eye itself on that visible closeup someone posted.

The 976mb was an estimate at 2pm. I think we should see next RECON find sub 970mb. Realistically, a 25mb fall is quite probable considering Ida's remarked improved look.
 
CDO still swirling. Need it to ring out for RI.
 
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