Tropical Hurricane Ida

[Shaggy]

Looking at the wind distribution at landfall the only silver lining is that hurricane force winds look to only extend out 30 miles from the center right before landfall. That will be about half the size of Katrina of my memory is correct so we should still see a huge surge but not over as wide of an area of the coast.

 

[SimeonNC]

I really hate to say it and this is by no means wishcasting, but just by seeing the minimal impact that Cuba has had on Ida, I truly don’t see anything stopping this system from becoming an extremely robust Cat 4 or 5. If I can chose one location in the continental US for Ida NOT to make landfall in, It’d be NOLA.

Let's hope Ida undergoes an EWRC

Edit: Actually no, that would just increase the wind radius.
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[HugeSnowStick]

Poor New Orleans, what a joke this city has always been on how it was built, this could be its demise.

 

[Henry2326]

Might as well go here.....and I have no words.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I agree, logistically speaking evacuating such a large metro in such short notice is going to be catastrophic with or without the use of contraflow traffic. For those in NOLA the best bet for them is to evacuate locally to higher ground if they have the means to do so. Those that reside in the lowest lying areas (ie Lower 9th ward) statistically speaking do not have the means to evacuate without help from agencies.

That's what my parents did for Katrina. They lived on some of the highest ground in St Bernard Parish and had never flooded even in Betsy. Until Katrina put 8' of water in the house that is.

 

[Henry2326]

Let's hope Ida undergoes an EWRC

Edit: Actually no, that would just increase the wind radius.
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At this point, it's about the only thing that could help.

 

[Cadi40]

That's what my parents did for Katrina. They lived on some of the highest ground in St Bernard Parish and had never flooded even in Betsy. Until Katrina put 8' of water in the house that is.

I was more so speaking locally in the sense of traveling 30-60 minutes north to reach higher ground.

 

[Stormsfury]

Looking at the wind distribution at landfall the only silver lining is that hurricane force winds look to only extend out 30 miles from the center right before landfall. That will be about half the size of Katrina of my memory is correct so we should still see a huge surge but not over as wide of an area of the coast.

The wind field is already explicitly expected to expand before landfall.. already has been mentioned in the NHC discussions...

 

[Henry2326]

 

[JHS]

'Time is not on our side': Hurricane Ida forecast to reach Category 4; New Orleans mayor says it's too late for mandatory evacuations

Ida was forecast to reach Category 4 strength, with winds estimated at 140 mph, before it makes landfall Sunday afternoon or evening.

www.usatoday.com

Not good if this storm is a CAT 4 or 5.

 

[Stormsfury]

This ain't even right... Ida's an evil one.. smiling while making landfall on Cuba..

 

[Shaggy]

The wind field is already explicitly expected to expand before landfall.. already has been mentioned in the NHC discussions...

Interesting. Wonder why that's not reflected in their forecast advisory?



FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.

 

[Stormsfury]

Interesting. Wonder why that's not reflected in their forecast advisory?



FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.

That's odd. Check back thru the discussion archives and there were several that discussed a wind field expansion

 

[Webberweather53]

To say I'm concerned about what Ida might do tomorrow night over the loop current is a massive understatement. Satellite and radar definitely suggest it's intensifying over land in Cuba.

 

[Tornadocane]

Anyone have a link to the Cuban radar site?

 

[accu35]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Anyone have a link to the Cuban radar site?

Here ya go: http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.as...R&TB2=../Radar/00Pinar del Rio/lbjMAXw01a.gif

 

[Chazwin]

View attachment 89410

It won’t be but maybe another 30 minutes or so before the center is back over water. We’ll probably see an eye clear out in the next few hours.

 

[Cadi40]

Even though the projected landfall location of Ida seems to be a good bit west of where Katrina struck, it actually puts NOLA in a worse position because of the counter clockwise nature of a Hurricane.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

What the HELL?

View attachment 89399

Yeah that is uhhhh, very suboptimal.

I'm going to also ask the same...what are they doing there? They should have been planning for this possibility earlier than this.