• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Ida

MichaelJ said:
The amount of weakening as it approaches the coast is dependent on a couple of factors. If it slows down as it nears landfall, then the interaction will water a little cooler and much shallower than at peak intensity will weaken it some. However if it makes a beeline at 15-20+mph there will not be much weakening as it hits the shallower water on the coast line. Also the slower it goes as landfall approaches, the more dry air can get pulled into the system. Lots of factors in play here from the track, peak intensity and speed of the storm
Click to expand...

A slowdown before landfall is my hope and that would hopefully weaken it somewhat before landfall. The Euro especially has it slowing down quite a bit then.
 
GaWx said:
A slowdown before landfall is my hope and that would hopefully weaken it somewhat before landfall. The Euro especially has it slowing down quite a bit then.
Click to expand...
Bad for surge and flooding rains … would prefer it smack and leave not much difference between 4/5 winds surge factor already massive … there’s not much getting around this being very bad
 
GaWx said:
A slowdown before landfall is my hope and that would hopefully weaken it somewhat before landfall. The Euro especially has it slowing down quite a bit then.
Click to expand...

Problem is a slowdown would also prolong the effects and pile up more water on both the surge and add rain measured in feet..
It's really taking the lesser of two evils of devastating effects...virtually a no win scenario (Nature's Kobayashi Maru Test and you need Capt Kirk to cheat the system)
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Honestly at this stage where we’re just waiting on a big Convective blowup that rotates upshear and closes off any openings in the eyewall and warms the core, which will happen, especially when it goes back over water
Click to expand...

At current motion it won't be over Cuba very long and it won't be disturbed much at all
 
If you are in New Orleans right now and considering whether or not to leave, please just start packing and get out of harms way. It's not worth betting your life on a slim chance that this thing weakens between now and Sunday. And even if it does the surge and flooding may be just as bad.
 
Henry2326 said:
If you are in New Orleans right now and considering whether or not to leave, please just start packing and get out of harms way. It's not worth betting your life on a slim chance that this thing weakens between now and Sunday. And even if it does the surge and flooding may be just as bad.
Click to expand...
... Hail Mary ... pray for us sinners now and at the hour of our death ...
 
Tornadocane said:
What ing the flying F are they F-ing doing in New Orleans? Is this for real?
Click to expand...

The issue is there's not enough time to evacuate 1.2+ million people within 36ish hours. The logistics of evacuating a large metro city such as Nola are insanely complicated. A botched mandatory evacuation of New Orleans would be unfathomable.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top