I tell you what, the wind has been whipping this morning and here at noon and it’s probably sustained around 15-20 mph right now and some big gusts.
Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
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GFS and Canadian still trending NE with the track.
As devastating as this is, I just want to point out that this is Ft. Myers Beach, which is a barrier island. Parts of Ft. Myers are in very bad shape too, but most of the mainland does not look quite as bad as this footage.
Honestly, same here in Central NC. Noticed while on a lunch run that we are at 10-15 sustained and 25ish gusts.
24 hours ago at hour 54, the GFS had Ian about 40-50 miles offshore of St Augustine.
24 hours later, at hour 30, the GFS has Ian at Myrtle Beach.
Just your every day 300 mile north trend.
24 hours later, at hour 30, the GFS has Ian at Myrtle Beach.
Just your every day 300 mile north trend.
It's getting prepared for winter.
I'm impressed by how well the structures built to modest hurricane codes survived the onslaught. There is one house where the shingle roof looks brand new! Most, if not all of this damage, appears to be caused by the debris from "grandfathered" structures. The barrier islands all over the U.S. really need to step up and condemn and destroy all structures not up to basic hurricane codes.
There wouldn't be this amount of destruction if a) we didn't build shoddy structures on the coast, and b) we didn't build on a beach!!!
My guess is they have to close all the bridges tomorrow so if you stay on the peninsula, you're going to be stuck there
St Simons Island Beach cam
Live video from King and Prince - Beach Cam camera
kingandprince-beach.click2stream.com
Onshore flow is starting to be a concern for SE NC beaches like Sunset, Ocean Isle, Holden, Oak. All the places that were effected by Isaias. Storm is tucked in just south and the contour of the coast perfectly lines up with winds on the NE side of Ian
They don't close the bridges for wind ever... But it is travel at your own risk, they only close the bridges if there is a danger of falling ice
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Taking the scenic route to the Carolina's
Amazing.how he is always east of forecast. Those bigger nam runs from yesterday with landfall around Wilmington took him pretty far east
I was going to travel to Wilmington today, not for the storm but to see War on Drugs with my dad at live oak. That’s cancelled… but still might go. Haven’t experience a hurr since Nicole in Bermuda in 2016
Just watched Levi’s video. He said he could see landfall as far north as MB for now. Crazy how far south and east this storm has remained on the NHC track. Wonder what caused this issue with the models, trough, incoming cold front? Lots of variables I know and I’m not versed enough to attempt to guess.
Ian keeps moving east, models keep adjusting the landfall a little further north. I think we could have a low end cat 2 between Charleston and Myrtle Beach.
Maybe cat 1. Cold front from the north and dry air on the south should impede rapid re-development. Won’t argue with you on location.
That eyewall better get to firing soon.
Ian is really sheared right now, you can see on radar LLC is decoupled from mid level. Mesoscale models show a lopsided storm with no south side. I’m not saying it won’t be impactful but I really doubt this anywhere past low end 1, if that. Pressure decreases will be aided by some of this synoptic stuff slinging it back into the coast
60 mph gust reported at a buoy south of Southport 
GEFS, more east means stronger and further up the coast... eps might be interesting but just north of Charleston seems to be a good bet
