Shaggy
Member
Yeah it appears the icon got into someone's special gummy stash.View attachment 122173
18z ICON ?
Yeah it appears the icon got into someone's special gummy stash.View attachment 122173
18z ICON ?
I actually feel sorry for it. Such a bad model.Yeah it appears the icon got into someone's special gummy stash.
That would leave many of us out as far as rain goes and I have to wonder if it may be onto something. That was a big shift east.Yeah it appears the icon got into someone's special gummy stash.
Today, it was the first to break to the east and shift across the state.I actually feel sorry for it. Such a bad model.
It's been an on and off again signal for the entire week. We occasionally get a wonky run to the east and there's always been the eastward camps in the ensembles. Looking at the 5pm track a 100 mile east adjustment puts it back in the Atlantic so we keep watching I guessI still can't figure out why some of these models go across FL and off the ATL coast.. but its enough of a signal.....
Not happening.View attachment 122173
18z ICON ?
Oddly enough the Euro actually had this exact track early on, I don't see it happening either but the fact it won't go completely away is interesting
You can already see the smallest sign of that on the 18z GFS… the WAR flexing at the last minute is as certain as death and taxesWatch as we get closer and the WAR starts flexing and showing itself like it always does in the short range. That’ll all but put a nail in a reemergence in the Atlantic idea.
I don’t know yet, my in house 18z MBY model run hasnt come in yet.I think it’s safe to say west coast Florida this is your storm, congrats.
The gfs is heading that way before the big blocking high races in and shuts of the NE turn and turns it more NNW again just off the west coast of Florida.Oddly enough the Euro actually had this exact track early on, I don't see it happening either but the fact it won't go completely away is interesting
He was the best! DR Knabb is not that bad! Smart guy!I know I am one of the old dogs but damn, I miss John Hope this time of year.
Yes, but stronger WAR would most likely mean stronger steering currents and a stronger hurricane would be apt to be steered NE around the stronger 500mb ridge.You can already see the smallest sign of that on the 18z GFS… the WAR flexing at the last minute is as certain as death and taxes