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Tropical Hurricane Ian

Where this system starts getting its act together most the northwest turn would start. The CMC/EURO/ICON/ACC, tropical models, and large set of GFS ensembles look like a good bet this goes through the Gulf of Batabano as it makes landfall in western Cuba next Monday afternoon/evening and emerges off the coast of southwest Florida with landfall there on Tuesday.
 
The 00z GFS stalls and puts the entire I-4 corridor under water.

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FWIW the 00z CMC shows a stall over Florida as well. A more south to north orientation though.

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How is it even possible to get pushed back to SC? The trough would have to speed by it and the ridge build in and shunt it west for a bit?? On that GFS run
 
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