Stormsfury
Member
98L is currently on the tour of the South American coastline. It appears to be somewhere between I think those are the ABC islands down there around 10°N, 62°W.
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
Thor
Member
GEFS is Mexico to Boston. 
weatherfide
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It did show a unified signal for a low in the Straits of Yucatan before it went in all directions, though.
Euro more stronger and faster this run. 
Snow_chaser
Member
Ok
yes, just left orange beach and it was bath water
I'd think in between the GFS and the Euro.
Euro has it hitting in south Florida.
Massive differences in that upper air pattern, some things never change lol
euro nearly 20mb stronger this run at 180
Euro a drought buster for sure
NBD north of FL this run outside of maybe some beach erosion.
I’ll tell you what the environment in the Caribbean if something does end up forming is about as good as it gets for tropical cyclones.. I expect rapid strengthening with this especially cause models want to develop this as a very small system initially.. this also favors rapid strengthening. We will get some very cool SAT photos in the coming week if we can get a low to form and move into this environment.
no kidding check out this outer band action.. tornado threat with this scenario as well.. lots of possibilities with this system.. only one run though
That ridge is going to push it into Mexico! I’m glad to see the run to run consistency is as good with hurricanes on the models as it is with winter storms!?
Avalanche
Member
We need that outer squall here in central NC.
Brent
Member
