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Tropical Hurricane Ian

Henry2326

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This may or may not be good for comparison. Everyone is so use to just seeing storms , once they hook NE head OTS. There's a few other tracks besides this one that shows you how the troughs coming and going/timing do some out of the norm stuff.

Memorable-October-Hurricanes-solisC.jpg
I think practically every one of these scenarios has been modeled in the past couple of days. Lol
 

Snow_chaser

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Yep, @SD answered it of course. And if you look at this image of the 12z Euro you can see interaction with that diving trough, even starting to tug it some but it's too late and basically pulls it back up into Atlantic Canada, but it's not far off from pulling it sooner. All depends on timing of both, TC and the trough, and how deep/location of that trough

ecmwf_z500aNorm_us_52.png
Ummm that would smack me with the northern wall eventually
I haven’t been keeping up, when did you relocate to Pensacola?
 

Shawn

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I've always liked the blend of the Euro and GFS. Still a long ways out; and we need a defined area of circulation to even get an idea of what's going to happen track wise. Hopefully tomorrow will answer some questions.
 

weatherboyy

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There's no way this storm is going to make a hard right turn like it's showing on the model guidance I seen this done before or I'm tripping
 
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