Stormsfury
Member
98L is currently on the tour of the South American coastline. It appears to be somewhere between I think those are the ABC islands down there around 10°N, 62°W.
It did show a unified signal for a low in the Straits of Yucatan before it went in all directions, though.GEFS is Mexico to Boston. View attachment 121693
yes, just left orange beach and it was bath waterI can attest gulf waters are as warm as bathwater, currently at Gulf shores Alabama.
I'd think in between the GFS and the Euro.
Massive differences in that upper air pattern, some things never change lol
That ridge is going to push it into Mexico! I’m glad to see the run to run consistency is as good with hurricanes on the models as it is with winter storms!?
We need that outer squall here in central NC.no kidding check out this outer band action.. tornado threat with this scenario as well.. lots of possibilities with this system.. only one run though View attachment 121700
Bend in the panhandle landfall.... that is my guess.I'd think in between the GFS and the Euro.
E more W….
Euro probably gonna keep trending stronger with that look aloft if it is right. Hello Charley 2.0.euro nearly 20mb stronger this run at 180
Is this more euro or Gfs like?well......yall see the 12z HWRF? I think firing warning shots..... heading like a NNW toward the western tip of Cuba at end of run...likely a major by looking at pressure and winds. Also, very moist all around the system.
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About to make that sharp turn toward FL based on 500mb and system strength.Is this more euro or Gfs like?
I agree, this would split the 2, but favor EUROAbout to make that sharp turn toward FL based on 500mb and system strength.
Capture more or less with the ULL/trough over the Midwest.Wonder why the Euro showing a bend back west after landfall? Whenever I see these happen it reminds me of other storms that done that before landfall.
No doubt legit chance at a cat 5 if this look plays out.well......yall see the 12z HWRF? I think firing warning shots..... heading like a NNW toward the western tip of Cuba at end of run...likely a major by looking at pressure and winds. Also, very moist all around the system.
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Thanks!! I seen this before where the bend starts happening sooner before landfall If you notice CMC done that on todays 12z run. Had it going in the eastern gulf then bends west into La/Ms gulf coast. Something to watch as eps and gefs is hinting atCapture more or less with the ULL/trough over the Midwest.