Tropical Hurricane Ian

[accu35]

11 am

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That keeps creeping north and west. I don’t think the north shift is done yet.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

11 am

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That would be catastrophic for folks in the Crystal River / Homosassa area. Very shallow limestone ocean bottom in that area. That would shove a 10-20 ft wall of water up the rivers well inland.

 

[weather bubba]

What do y’all think of this?

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While this chart does seem to be a bit dramatic and overhyped, it is one of many possible outcomes that may result from Ian along the East Coast next week. There is still time to watch the models and meteorologists make their forecasts and plan accordingly. If this were to pan out we would be looking at a potential Category 5 storm if the maximum wind speeds were achieved.

 

[Henry2326]

11 am NHC

 

[Meteorologist1999]

The UK met has nailed tracks in the past and looks like it may nail this one.


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What does it shows?

 

[severestorm]

Outflow's improving today from the relaxed shear.

 

[deltadog03]

This is what I’m thinking

 

[iGRXY]

Storms firing on all sides

 

[$alt]

Getting a little muddy here guys.

Banter Thread

 

[ILMRoss]

While this chart does seem to be a bit dramatic and overhyped, it is one of many possible outcomes that may result from Ian along the East Coast next week. There is still time to watch the models and meteorologists make their forecasts and plan accordingly. If this were to pan out we would be looking at a potential Category 5 storm if the maximum wind speeds were achieved.

The chart conveys an overinflated degree of confidence with this storm in both track and intensity. There’s nothing here beneficial to the public that the NHC cone doesn’t bring. Nothing about this feels like a good faith effort to inform the public and instead just feels like clickbait. Charts like this give mets a bad name in my opinion and damage credibility. You’re technically not wrong but just because it could happen doesn’t mean it should be published

 

[Stormsfury]

What do y’all think of this?

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Absolutely irresponsible for AccuWeather to post a definitive type wind map like this so far out.

 

[$alt]

The "150mph" AccuWeather "stormmax" is what does it for me. What is with these companies trying to repackage data and call it some obscure "only available through us" parameter?

 

[HugeSnowStick]

Absolutely irresponsible for AccuWeather to post a definitive type wind map like this so far out.

Accuweather is a joke, imo...

 

[Tornadocane]

The chart conveys an overinflated degree of confidence with this storm in both track and intensity. There’s nothing here beneficial to the public that the NHC cone doesn’t bring. Nothing about this feels like a good faith effort to inform the public and instead just feels like clickbait. Charts like this give mets a bad name in my opinion and damage credibility. You’re technically not wrong but just because it could happen doesn’t mean it should be published

You're 100% right. I agree with everything you're saying. No doubt. It's offensive, deplorable, and unforgivable.

But it looks so cool! .

 

[Henry2326]

12z

 

[Tornadocane]

Anyone got some predictions for Recon they want to pull out of their A##? I'll go with 1001Mbs and 53MPH winds.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Clear trend on the GFS

 

[KyloG]

ar flexing

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[deltadog03]

This is where I think recon will find the center.