Shaggy
Member
Why;would you cancel? Trip of a lifetime
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
Shaggy
Member
Gfs with an almost +30 mb change on approach to the big bend
So, Apalachicola is the new Boston?
BHS1975
Member
SimeonNC
Member
That is legit insane lol, below freezing 850s during a tropical system.So, Apalachicola is the new Boston?
Didn't the mountains get snow out of Sandy? Imagine if that happened again.
Nevermind: Read the map wrong
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Those are surface dews!
jeremyt
Member
Levi just posted a YT video that I thought was very informative. If links aren’t allowed let me know and delete!
Links are allowed, it's the over posting of Twitter that gets on nerves here. Levi's stuff is always gold anyway.
I’m not sure…but they are converging
DadOfJax
Member
Euro definitely trending back west, GFS still shooting the gap. I think they both continue the trend west over the next few runs. You are starting to see the westward extent of ensembles really move!
Levi's video is great. Basically, the trough situation is important, but first, we need to figure out where the center of this thing is going to actually be as it leaves the shear it's experiencing right now. We still have a little while, probably 18+ hours to figure that key out.
jeremyt
Member
What are your thoughts for Landfall?
The shear must be starting to relax. The center has been tucked under the deep storms for a hot minute now.
Shaggy
Member
But at the same time a cluster of gefs members breaks off and supports the eps so there's still plenty of model mayhem to sort through
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The EPS is still “weighted” east by a good amount.
jeremyt
Member
Yeah, after watching the video posted above you can see it relaxing once aligned longitudinal with Jamaica
DadOfJax
Member
Somewhere along the FL panhandle.
Henry2326
Member
5 pm NHC.....not much changed.
Forecast a cane at 2 am Monday.....middle of the cone is Cayman Islands at the "H". GFS intensity is 965 and HWRF is 976 as it passes through.
I lived there for a year and experienced both a cat1 and cat2. It's at sea level.....I've never seen so much water stack up in my life.
I would leave too.
Forecast a cane at 2 am Monday.....middle of the cone is Cayman Islands at the "H". GFS intensity is 965 and HWRF is 976 as it passes through.
I lived there for a year and experienced both a cat1 and cat2. It's at sea level.....I've never seen so much water stack up in my life.
I would leave too.
As much as we need to watch the trof over the east, the next 48 hrs is super critical to see what areas of energy take over and consolidate. Looks a little north as of now, but supposed to move westerly overnight.