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Tropical Hurricane Ian

SimeonNC said:
Hasn't this happened before? At least in NC

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I believe Elena in the mid 80s… I think in ‘85 to be exact, had temperatures in the 50s in the Carolinas as it moved into the Florida panhandle and then up inland through GA and the Carolinas. That storm was in November though and only a few days before Thanksgiving
 
SASQUATCH said:
Bet he wears white socks with sandals.
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You must have been to iowa!? They won’t let the Birkenstock’s rest until about November and it’s so stupid!
Hope the West track continues, so it can save Shetleys grass! And seriously give all y’all some rain
 
COC is now jumping into the convection at 15N, 70.8W. Broad Circulation is stretching to the W to SW under that Ball of Convection. The 950-700Mb Vorticity Map seems to demonstrate that the 700Mb has shifted to the N and NE. You can see the spin within the convection is starting to become more vigorous nearer to the COC, and SW convection near 73W is dying. The outflow is also starting to look better from NW to the SE of the system. This is starting to organize, and will continue to do so as it move away from the shear. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=09L&product=vis

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Tarheel1 said:
This could end up as as LA hit, or even more west! These wild run to run swings just mean there are a lot of tiny variables, that can lead to major changes, if the trough misses it, anything in the gulf is possible, IMO
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These swings aren't really that wild they just look incredibly dramatic bc of the shape of FL imo
 
Tarheel1 said:
Yes, my mistake! I was in Gastonia. I remember it being cold and rainy at some point and still being without power, it could of been a week after! ??
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Yeah I think you're right. Ironically, had we evacuated, Gastonia was our landing spot and I know Gastonia had 100mph wind gusts there that morning.
 
SD said:
These swings aren't really that wild they just look incredibly dramatic bc of the shape of FL imo
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Yep and even up here, 7 days out a couple hundred miles isn't huge just huge implications for sensible weather. Euro back to solid rain event, some gust but probably big time Tor threat in ENC
 
I believe it was Elena in '85 that was progged to hit central gulf coast then took a right turn toward FL peninsula. It then stalled for a couple of days and then finally landed around Biloxi. I was headed to Gulf Shores with a friend's family to their beach house for Labor Day and we got the news that Elena had turned back towards us. We of course had to cancel trip.

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