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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

I think you can assume with a pretty good degree of certainty that the area will be impacted. That said how much wont be known until a few hours before landfall. Unless it grows you can probably assume a hurricane as compact as Michael.
Thank You, I HOPE IT CHANGES IT'S PATH!!!
 
00z GFS Legacy not terribly far off from the 12z Euro tracking around the Eastern FL Coast.

Very 12z EURO like.
00z GFS and GFS Legacy just subtle differences but huge implications on Rainfall in the SC Coastal Plain. The GFS has just a few inches of rain whereas the Legacy bombards the coast with 10"+ of rain
 
so take a little "east" bias out for GFS and a little "west" bias of the ukie and you will probably get a run like the euro tonight.
 
SORRY FOR THE SMALL SIZE BUT THIS IS THE ICON FROM HR 18 TILL HR 126
SHOWS LAND FALL AT HR 117 TUESDAY @950Mb
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I think we may be starting to see a better consensus between West Palm and Vero

In b4 the euro says yeah right
 
Euro is a hair north may be zeroing in here

ecmwf_z500_mslp_watl_4 (2).pngecmwf_z500_mslp_watl_5 (5).png

Landfall West Palm Beach Early Tuesday Morning then a sharp turn NNW up the east coast of FL

ac7QmPn.png

Weaker Landfall in SC at 168

ecmwf_z500_mslp_watl_8 (5).png
 
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Starting to show the slow crawl north once inland
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