I will say this, per recon we have a heading change now.
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Tropical Hurricane Dorian
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Looks more than a jog too.
sigwx
Member
Same here
GeorgiaGirl
Member
GFS is now stronger at 66 than it was previously and it looks a hair slower again.
It does look like Dorian has been moving more WNW vs. NW the past hour or so.
JaxHurricane12
Member
Also initiated way too weak
I think that upper level low will actually be the Monkey wrench with this Hurricane.
Looks like WPB inbound on GFS so far
sigwx
Member
AS FAR AS GOING UP THE EAST COAST?
Brent
Member
are the models trending towards the HMON /s
GeorgiaGirl
Member
GFS and GFS Legacy now almost in the same spots. The legacy is just 18 MB stronger.
I think taking 10 MB off on the GFS is probably fair.
I wonder if we can actually manage to lessen impacts if we get a further south recurve. Because some of these runs that I've seen are significant impact.
I think taking 10 MB off on the GFS is probably fair.
I wonder if we can actually manage to lessen impacts if we get a further south recurve. Because some of these runs that I've seen are significant impact.
Tracking due west at 90hr, landfall will be around Jupiter. S/W flatter. This run may see the gulf.
Ridging out in the western US is a little stronger on this 00z GFS run.
Oh crud, FV3 showing rapid strengthening just before landfall.
That is a pretty big change with the trough over the Great Lakes at 108hrs.