Tropical Hurricane Dorian

[Ollie Williams]

Here’s the nam with a 907 mb Cat 5

 

[sigwx]

not well... it was supposed to die or be really weak north of Hispanola... center reformed and everything changed

if you had to put a guess on where it goes into Fl. or up fl. coast what would say tonight would be the location. Thanks

 

[bud006]

Just zoomed in on the NHC track. Looks like its projected landfall is right at Jupiter, Fla., or maybe just a couple of miles north after 8 p.m. ET Monday.

The position at 8 p.m. ET Tuesday is right at Okeechobee, Fla.

That's about a 55-mile progression in 24 hours, about 2 1/4 miles per hour. Oh, man.

--30--

 

[Snowfan]

Here’s the nam with a 907 mb Cat 5
View attachment 22412

Classic NAM

 

[Brick Tamland]

NAM might not be far off, though.

 

[Brent]

if you had to put a guess on where it goes into Fl. or up fl. coast what would say tonight would be the location. Thanks

I usually lean pretty close to the NHC track tbh but I'd say either scenario is entirely possible

With landfall still 4 days away errors can be large

 

[sigwx]

You are facing some tough decisions. By the time that you definitely know that you need to go to Jupiter, things will be starting to get chaotic in that area. Driving patterns will be changing and there will be uncertainty about the availability of gasoline and lodging in much of Florida.

Good luck.

Thank You! l will not get much sleep tonight!!!!

 

[sigwx]

I usually lean pretty close to the NHC track tbh but I'd say either scenario is entirely possible

With landfall still 4 days away errors can be large

Thank You I agree. Enjoy your post!!

 

[ncskywarn]

ICON is stuck at hour 42.

 

[farleydawg792]

So it begins with major news outlets....

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

So it begins with major news outlets....
View attachment 22413

Maybe almost one of the worst news headlines I’ve ever seen. It’s really pathetic

 

[farleydawg792]

Maybe almost one of the worst news headlines I’ve ever seen. It’s really pathetic

Agreed....I'm all for preparing communities...but come on man. Banter not intended!

 

[Snowflowxxl]

CNN is the most pathetic news source I have ever seen. What the hell do they think they are doing with the clickbait/misinforming crap?

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

HOLY SH%t BALLS BATMAN. IM NOT SURE HOW TH NAM IS WITH HURRICANES BUT IF THIS WERE TO VERIFY THEN THAT IS UTTER DESTRUCTION

Here’s the nam with a 907 mb Cat 5
View attachment 22412

 

[Arcc]

FV3 a tick south at 18hrs.

 

[Arcc]

HOLY SH%t BALLS BATMAN. IM NOT SURE HOW TH NAM IS WITH HURRICANES BUT IF THIS WERE TO VERIFY THEN THAT IS UTTER DESTRUCTION

Its close to what Bernie Sanders is at boxing.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

yeah I truly doubt it gets in that shouting distance all around of Andrew. I think the comps we've been throwing around are good, with the potential slowdown, the flooding is the #1 worry here and for more than just the coast.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

AM I SEEING ON THE SIMULATED IR LOOP AT MORE WESTERLY TRACK VS A NW TRACK AT THIS TIME

 

[Arcc]

FV3 is still a tick south with slightly stronger ULL in front.

 

[ncskywarn]

FV3 a tick south at 18hrs.

This is going to be a big model run it's the first that has all the additional data added to it from today's special soundings.