Minimal unless it spends appreciable time out in the Atlantic. As long as it doesn't restrengthen, it will probably just be a bit breezy.
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Hurricane Debby
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
weather bubba
Member
accu35 gave some good advice. The local NWS offices usually issue storm briefings online and I expect that KRDU will be offering a briefing on Debby soon that will show possible impacts in more detail.
Hot off the press ...
Shaggy
Member
Icon track is right between euro and ukie so believable. Intensity is a joke though. It's trying to give a us a dgex moment for a hurricane wind forecast.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I’m not buying 2-4” of rain in Macon, GA. The way the radar looks they may not get anything.
Yeah I'd put wind 3rd in line right now as far as concern with flooding and tornadoes ahead
Canadian. Yikes.
snowc
Member
Ok thank you. Sorry about that. I'm just very scared right now.
snowc
Member
Where is the banter thread? I can't find it from the last time I visited.
snowc
Member
Triplephase93
Member
Misc - Sizzling Shenanigans: warm season whamby
Over just the last 3 weeks in my house, I’ve experienced these firsts: 88 humid degrees from a couple day long AC outage, a garage flood from very heavy Debby rains, and now a yellow jacket of all things. I hardly ever see yellow jackets outside much less getting inside. I’ve seen the bigger...
southernwx.com
Assuming the models that aren't the gfs are right it's going to be interesting to see how quickly the precip shield becomes left of track
Shaggy
Member
You can add icon and ukie to that euro camp as well
Nerman
Member
Look for wrap around bands tonight. They could dump a lot quickly
Definitely agree with the wind threat being secondary to flooding, but don't let your guard down on that if you happen to be in a flood-prone location. The high end flooding potential (i.e. worst case scenario) could be severe. Not trying to scare anyone, just know your area!
Downeastnc
Member
The scary part is some of the river basins for the eastern rivers look to get 5-10" at least over pretty much the entire basin...that's fairly rare. I could see moderate or major flood stages for the Tar and Neuse and thier feeder creeks.
Stormsfury
Member
Mesovorticity embedded within the NE quadrant... actually saved that loop when I saw it earlier.
Right now I'd put the Pee Dee, Lumber and Cape Fear at the highest risk for sig flooding, a lot will depend on how much falls and where. Canadian would be about worst case scenario for the Cape Fear in that heaviest amounts are way upstream near the headwaters, add in 5-10' for the lower basin and that's a very large slug of water still needing to come downstream. You would probably need to go back to Florence and/or Matthew for the last time these rivers saw levels similar to what they are about to see in the coming weeks.
Henry2326
Member
I wonder why the WPC and the local NWS vary so much? The WPC must be taking an average which includes the GFS which is likely wrong. Like I said yesterday a line from Greenwood to Union to Gastonia and east get big rain. Less than an inch west of there.
6z AI euro stayed consistent with its track. I keep bringing it up because the track is actually a solid compromise between the gfs and the other models and it hasn't wavered since Saturday now the 12z UK has jumped into a similar track. Obviously a model can be consistently wrong but it's worth watching
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Wow the models were way off in Georgia unless the precip builds back westward. I don't think Albany has had much of anything and they were forecast to get 3-4". Almost all the precip is east of I-75.
Very much agreed. We always see models greatly underestimate how far west the rain goes.
Some street flooding hopefully not much more rain to go or I may have made a bad choice. 
I don’t think the WPC is taking the GFS to account in their forecast… I read their discussion earlier and it pretty much discounted it. I’m not sure I can recall seeing that much of disparity between the WPC and GSP’s maps.
snowc
Member
Oh, i thought the whamby thread was separate from the banter thread. Thanks!
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The sun is out here lol. No rain so far and a gust maybe of 10mph. They cancelled school for this ?
lexxnchloe
Member
Where in GA?
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I am in Southwest Georgia (Americus). It's turning out to be a beautiful day here with a nice little breeze.
lexxnchloe
Member
Yea thats ridiculous and overkill to close anything there.
12z euro is close to the 0z center at 90 hrs is along the nc/sc border between Marlboro and Scotland county
SC landfall was around garden city beach, murrels inlet
Total precip through 102 below. It flips to a LOT precip signature once inland so the heaviest rain is the US1 corridor from CAE to around sanford and west
SC landfall was around garden city beach, murrels inlet
Total precip through 102 below. It flips to a LOT precip signature once inland so the heaviest rain is the US1 corridor from CAE to around sanford and west
It would increase the wind threat in a box from RDU to CAE to CHS to Morehead city where it has sustained winds of 20-30kt so these areas are probably gusting 25-40kt
HugeSnowStick
Member
Some feeder bands are setting up east of ATL Metro, flying to the WNW.
NCSNOW
Member
This thing keeps moving short term at this rate,its gonna get back out over water a lot sooner than originally thought. So to me thats the question when an exactly where it hits the stall. Netting 8 miles an hour, so thats 172 miles in 24 hours, which will get it back over water tonight
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah it's hard to tell but seems like a lot of east component to it since landfall, official NHC track brings it back out over the Atlantic around the SC/GA border in roughly 24 hrs. It's definitely on the southern edge of the cone from last night.
The center is only 90ish miles from Jacksonville..and should be back over water around the FL/GA border sometime tonight if it kept this course.
coldfront22
Member
What are we thinking for Wilmington? 10-12 inches, possible more?
Euro wind maps seem to always be overdone inland.