Pattern Hotober

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I'll get the December thread and let the rest of you jabronis fight over the November heat wave thread!

I claim the winter whamby thread since that’s where y’all will end up spending 90% of the winter anyway ?

 

[cyclogent]

Dipped to 39 in CHA this morning based on the raw 5 minute obs. Coolest since April 3rd. Hard to beat hot coffee in the sun on morning work breaks!

 

[snowcool776]

I'll get the December thread and let the rest of you jabronis fight over the November heat wave thread!

Haha, thats funny @Rain Cold

 

[RBR71]

Alright everyone, including you @Rain Cold (Lol), enough thread talk in the Hotober thread..... I swear give you jabronis an inch and y'all will take a mile.

 

[RBR71]

At least some of the worse drought areas of the SE might get some decent rains...emphasis on the word might

 

[RBR71]

So the GFS still chilly for Halloween but seems to me it's started it's usual very cold retreat..... not nearly as cold as it's previous runs. Shocker I know

 

[SoutheastRidge]

@metwannabe On October 31, can I start the monthly thread? I haven't even made a thread, and this looks like a success to have these monthly threads?

Usually the monthly thread is created well before the last day of the month. Im kinda surprised a November thread hasnt been started yet.

 

[tennessee storm]

Usually the monthly thread is created well before the last day of the month. Im kinda surprised a November thread hasnt been started yet.

No one cares about November ... apparently

 

[Tarheel1]

Alright everyone, including you @Rain Cold (Lol), enough thread talk in the Hotober thread..... I swear give you jabronis an inch and y'all will take a mile.

Oh snap!
Made it to 40 this AM, we suck at cold

 

[FortMillSCWx]

I would think this would juice up the QPF more for mid south, upslope areas in the Carolinas and the Mtns/Piedmont...

 

[RBR71]

Euro keeps most rain west and south... Ga/Al/Tn and most of SC look decent

 

[KyloG]

Euro keeps most rain west and south... Ga/Al/Tn and most of SC look decent

View attachment 24866

I can only guess why that is. Going to be a lonnggg winter. #ridgeFTW

 

[FortMillSCWx]

So we have an approaching Tropical system oriented SW/NE heading towards the apps. Central NC squeezes out .4 inches?

Pig Ridge.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GOA ridge and SER = winter cancel

 

[Brent]

just dropped from 72 to 57 and widespread rain is moving in... gonna be a lovely evening

 

[pcbjr]

just dropped from 72 to 57 and widespread rain is moving in... gonna be a lovely evening

quit braggin' ...

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

North Texas is getting crushed

 

[JHS]

The drought is not going anywhere in a good bit of NC and SC. It's another story for the rest of the southeast though.

 

[snowcool776]

ITS SNOWING IN AMARILLO!!! ☃☃☃❄❄❄

 

[snowcool776]

North Texas is getting crushed
View attachment 24875

@Brent are you ok?

 

[GaWx]

The differences between the 6Z/12Z GFS and the 12Z/0Z Euro for 2 PM temps on 10/30 at ATL are absolutely astounding: 25 degrees with the Euro near 75 and the GFS near 50!!! It's not like this is 10+ days out as this is a mere 7 days!
Anyone want to bet on which comes closer? If I remember and can find this post, I'll bump it in a week.

I'll bet on the Euro coming closer and it being 65-70 at 2 PM on 10/30. Anyone else? Watch the broken clock Goofy get lucky this time lmao.

Update for 18Z on 10/30: Whereas the 12Z Euro dropped from 75 to 70, the 18Z GFS rose sharply from
50 to 65. So, the Euro and GFS are only 5 apart on their latest runs vs 25 when I did the same analysis just yesterday.

 

[snowcool776]

Update for 18Z on 10/30: Whereas the 12Z Euro dropped from 75 to 70, the 18Z GFS rose sharply from
50 to 65. So, the Euro and GFS are only 5 apart on their latest runs vs 25 when I did the same analysis just yesterday.

Now thats cold. NOT.

 

[Brent]

@Brent are you ok?

yeah.. cause its snowing somewhere else Gotten used to that

If it actually snowed here I might not be okay

 

[SETNwx]

Sirs, this is a cold front:

 

[SETNwx]

I think this basic pattern repeats at 3-4 week intervals... giving mid US a winter to remember... East of Apps gets the shaft. Except for maybe a possible slider if the pattern sets up fortunate Jan-Feb, kind of like playing the slots at house heavy casinos....

 

[accu35]

Sirs, this is a cold front: View attachment 24882

lot of that extreme cold out west is due to snow cover

 

[Fountainguy97]

Under a high wind watch for mainly Saturday afternoon. 3km has gusts into the 50kts. We will see what happens. Probably much much less than that lol

 

[snowcool776]

Sirs, this is a cold front: View attachment 24882

Oof...

 

[RBR71]

Under a high wind watch for mainly Saturday afternoon. 3km has gusts into the 50kts. We will see what happens. Probably much much less than that lol

Those winds may very well verify for you, elevation should help out..... trees still have a lot of leaves? If so could make for a "fun" day

 

[Fountainguy97]

Those winds may very well verify for you, elevation should help out..... trees still have a lot of leaves? If so could make for a "fun" day

Yeah I have a hunch these winds may verify closer due to being driven by different mechanics. But still skeptical.

Plenty of leaves still on trees and a lot of color too! At the least we will have leaves blowing off trees like crazy.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Wonder what it’s like to be under deep purple anoms? Doubt I’ll never know unless they flip the color scale and purple = heat

 

[Tagat]

Finally some Decent rain fall.

 

[accu35]

Places up in northern Arkansas, Missouri, Chicago many more locations gonna see a possible snow on Halloween and yet maybe another storm follow right after. Winter is coming

 

[cyclogent]

54 with heavy rain atm in KCHA. Sure beats the 100 and beating sun from earlier in the month, lol

 

[Tarheel1]

CJ still calling for a widespread 1-3” of rain by Sunday! Just don’t see that from a basic skinny line of frontal showers!? 0 help from Olga

 

[Tarheel1]

Through end of gfs ! 15 days and meager totals. Was supposed to get 2-4” this weekend,and that went poof! The .5” totals for 15 days, will verify ?

 

[Zander98al]

Strong rotation near mcintosh alabama

 

[Zander98al]

Donut hole in the supercell now. No CC mark from what i can tell.

 

[EmersonGA]

.57” in the bucket. It barely rained at work not that far to the SW.

 

[NoSnowATL]

It’s been cloudy and never made it past 69. So far I’ve received 0.0. From the latest computer models it looks like less then 1in now from now to Sunday. As Kirk 50/50 says” more dry hrs then wet this weekend”


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