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Tropical Global Model Runs Discussion 2017

It looks to be turning North at 252.

Yeah that massive trough will snag it
0037b43b8d69b5beaacca6db0153d4ae.png



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Yeah that massive trough will snag it
0037b43b8d69b5beaacca6db0153d4ae.png



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Yep huge weakness in the high this time so it will turn north, good thing is verbatim more land interaction around Cuba so a tad weaker but again it's way out there. Also certainly could ramp up as it heads into the GOM...
 
Yep huge weakness in the high this time so it will turn north, good thing is verbatim more land interaction around Cuba so a tad weaker but again it's way out there. Also certainly could ramp up as it heads into the GOM...

Yeah it's hooking hard to the NE . Yesterday the Gfs took it over the highest peaks in Cuba and PR and still managed to blow it up in the gulf. Not this run though


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Yeah it's hooking hard to the NE . Yesterday the Gfs took it over the highest peaks in Cuba and PR and still managed to blow it up in the gulf. Not this run though


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Yeah looks like TS maybe into panhandle of Fl.... big take away consistency in a system this far out
 
12z gefs ..... here she comes
be1647d6793c0730399bbd631d121d53.png

bf883a49ecbd159a2e2e53a5fc6b22d5.png

8cab816be58abccc1fd555f898eeb4cb.png

Fairly low latitude. Would be interesting to see how many storms with a low latitude have made a US landfall in the month of July

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Last edited:
12z gefs ..... here she comes
be1647d6793c0730399bbd631d121d53.png

bf883a49ecbd159a2e2e53a5fc6b22d5.png

8cab816be58abccc1fd555f898eeb4cb.png

Fairly low latitude. Would be interesting to see how many storms with a low latitude have made a US landfall in the month of July

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I may be wrong but I believe Hurricane Emily in 2005 was that far south and became a monster
Yep...
at200505.gif
 
The 00z eps members that were showing life gave up on the 12z run. I found one member that was the little engine that could but found that he can't


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