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Tropical Global Model Runs Discussion 2017

Storm5 said:
The 00z eps members that were showing life gave up on the 12z run. I found one member that was the little engine that could but found that he can't


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Nothing to see there. Time to move along. LOL


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whatalife said:
Nothing to see there. Time to move along. LOL


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There was a time not too long ago I would completely agree with you but seems this year the GFS has done a better job of sniffing out something in the long range, now once it does so it's all over the place but wouldn't write it off just yet. Of course the wave in question is still over Africa soooooo :confused::p Lol
 
metwannabe said:
There was a time not too long ago I would completely agree with you but seems this year the GFS has done a better job of sniffing out something in the long range, now once it does so it's all over the place but wouldn't write it off just yet. Of course the wave in question is still over Africa soooooo :confused::p Lol
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Yeah. I agree 100% with this. Will be fun to see who wins this one.


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metwannabe said:
Life must of been so boring before forecast models Lol!
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To keep interest piqued, check out the model comparisons at day 7 (link below, but can't resist posting this particular one from the UKMO):

ukm2.2017071412.168.lant.troplant.prp.fcst.gentr.png


https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tcgen/
 
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metwannabe said:
There was a time not too long ago I would completely agree with you but seems this year the GFS has done a better job of sniffing out something in the long range, now once it does so it's all over the place but wouldn't write it off just yet. Of course the wave in question is still over Africa soooooo :confused::p Lol
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I agree. The GFS is 4/5 on storm sniffing this year, which is far better than it was a few years ago. So much for big issues with the upgrade from what I can see. The Euro does good at shooting stuff down, and hasn't done that well this year. Until TD4 dissipates, it hasn't won a storm.
 
ForsythSnow said:
I agree. The GFS is 4/5 on storm sniffing this year, which is far better than it was a few years ago. So much for big issues with the upgrade from what I can see. The Euro does good at shooting stuff down, and hasn't done that well this year. Until TD4 dissipates, it hasn't won a storm.
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Now when it comes to sniffing out winter storms it will be like your avatar just picking it's nose... Lol
 
pcbjr said:
Too nutty ... :confused:
In all seriousness, the GFS is "bird dogging" something - which is not good, but better we watch now rather than succumb to mid-summer doldrums, should a covey flush ...
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Yep!


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