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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Hi Spring:
It's amazing watching the models trying to figure out the represcussions of the very stout ridging on the west coast.
Looking at the GFS over the next week or so, it sure does look like what the GFS showed a week or two in late December/early January before the parade of storms hit.
Looking at the GFS over the next week or so, it sure does look like what the GFS showed a week or two in late December/early January before the parade of storms hit.
Last edited:
packfan98
Moderator
There must have been one ensemble member that went bananas to give this look on the 6z GEFS mean:
whatalife
Moderator
There must have been one ensemble member that went bananas to give this look on the 6z GEFS mean:
You should see the 00z run and it had several members that had snow and ice to give its snow mean.
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Storm5
Member
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whatalife
Moderator
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At some point the euro will start winning again.
There must have been one ensemble member that went bananas to give this look on the 6z GEFS mean:
packfan98
Moderator
Thanks! Pretty strong signal for some fun and games!
Flurry
Member
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Shaping up to be the Battle Royal....SE style
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Jon
Member
Watching the potential Monday event. Temp issues even for RDU so doesn’t look like a greater SE event. But if it can trend into overnight Monday into Tues we would be in business. Should be an interesting few days if model runs...couple of tweets of my thoughts:
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Dusting-0.5" of snow was reported over parts of the NWS RAH CWA this morning esp back over the western piedmont and the Triad. Not sure how much fell here in the Triangle
Kylo
Member
Surprising to see the EPS with wanting to build a southeastern ridge only to have more of a trough as it gets closer. This is inside day 10. 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
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Yeah the SER on the EPS isn't going to verify.
tractor girl
Member
E0, 1 or 6 please.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is why I got bent out of shape when some were buying into this ridge extending from the NE Pacific to Europe and torching the entire US, that probably wasn't going to verify and even if it did, it wouldn't last long. Definitely entertaining to watch the SE US ridge evaporate on the EPS as we approach the medium range, another one is already biting the dust at 192 hr.
That's significant right there.... but I shall refrain from getting too excited but honestly I'd take the GEFS over the EPS right now the way things have played out this winter
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The GEFS has been clutch w/ this MJO pulse the last week or so and has been spanking the EPS as expected in phase 5. The more realistic MJO forecast from the GEFS and the fact that the EPS has problems w/ orographic forcing from the Rockies I'd definitely side w/ the GEFS here.
Kylo
Member
You buying the easterlies fading out? Does this potentially mean nina won’t have as much influence on pattern into February?
