One more storm here of a few inches pushes this winter into legendary status here.
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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
One more storm here of a few inches pushes this winter into legendary status here.
olhausen
Member
I dug up some old pictures from February 2015.
Here’s the first storm of 3 inches on the 16th. Don’t let the grass in the yard showing fool you. I had a broken lawn mower and the grass got ridiculously long before winter started.
Here’s 2 days later on the 18th after a super cold clipper dropped a few more inches.
And then freezing rain on top of the snow 5 or 6 days later.
And the final storm on March 5th
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Here’s the first storm of 3 inches on the 16th. Don’t let the grass in the yard showing fool you. I had a broken lawn mower and the grass got ridiculously long before winter started.
Here’s 2 days later on the 18th after a super cold clipper dropped a few more inches.
And then freezing rain on top of the snow 5 or 6 days later.
And the final storm on March 5th
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
HM injects some serious hope especially for Mid-Atlanic & NE US weenies. The upper south isn't out of the game in late February/early March if we get a legit -NAO triggered by this PV split in concert w/ extremely intense tropical forcing
GeorgiaGirl
Member
February 2015 was pretty good for places in North AL/North GA (and yes, the caveat I mean North of Atlanta metro) and North Carolina but it seems like it was really epic north of there.
Feb 2015 was one of those month where you had to be north of I-20. Those of us south of I-20 didnt see a flake.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
If we get one more good storm. If not, it has really only been average for me with 6 inches of snow and only one good storm. I do not see me getting another one, either.
Gus
Member
What does that mean for tornado season in the Southeast?
I hope it verifies at least 5" and move it a little north. Chattanooga desperately needs the rain.5-10 inches of rain in north Alabama over next two weeks
Wulfer
Member
Chattanooga hasn't got squat this year, snow or rain. Well looks like we'll get some rain this week.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Uhhh really at least in Georgia try north of I-85 and with the big dog snow of the month, not in Atlanta proper or on a latitude. But of course I view that month differently as I was still someplace else and I may still have even if I wasn't due to close family that is there.
Yes it was! I had just moved into my house in Cherokee at the beginning of that month and we had the snow come through. Come to think of it, it has snowed several times here every winter since I have been here. I love it here.
Tonight's temperature forecast, especially north of Atlanta has busted pretty bad already. Forecast low for me was 34, currently 29.2. Forecast high for tomorrow has also been lowered to 51 from near 60 earlier. Woohoo! lol
GeorgiaGirl
Member
That early Dec. storm really had a sharp gradient that is striking in the Tennessee Valley which you can tell from the NOAA maps (and what I found when I was traveling). Like even sharper than 2/25/15. Some of the southern areas of it saw 2 maybe a little more inches of snow and then you could've driven 10 miles north...dusting...20-30 miles south, buried.
Brent
Member
looks like its spread east lol
I'm still trying to figure out how we went from a Euro forecast of 80 degrees, talk of severe weather, to now possibly a winter storm(or at least a very cold rain) all for tomorrow
Right! I have a funny feeling someone’s gonna be in for a surprise in the next few weeks. Looks like you may be the first one lol.
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Brent
Member
the first surprise was when I walked out at work last night and it felt like I was back in Chicago after being 65 and sunny 3 hours earlier
We All can hope. Knowing our luck. It will be triple digits for most of the summer. lol
gawxnative
Member
Well looking at things this morning.. may need to change Forum title to "Floatie Feb, at least for MBY... 6-7" in next two weeks!!
I would rather snow or ice delay my house getting built than rain rain rain... I'm dying here.
tractor girl
Member
Half of ATL is north of I-20. ALL of ATL was dry holed in Feb 2015, we didn't see a thing.
DadOfJax
Member
Absolutely STOKED about highs in the 60's for the foreseeable future. It is time for fishing, and wont be long before turkey season. Best time of year is on it's way. Hello SPRING!
tractor girl
Member
We were in ATL on the southeast edge of that gradient. Cold rain with a few flakes that didn't accummulate. Drove a few miles NE of our location and the snow was falling. That was so incredibly disappointing.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Low predicted for today was 37, nope actually 30. May still hit 68 but it's going to have to haul butt to get there (and it can as I've seen it do it).
And GFS 2 meter air temperature had me at 45 with early in the morning, hahahaha 45 in what world.
And GFS 2 meter air temperature had me at 45 with early in the morning, hahahaha 45 in what world.
SCweather
Member
Yeh I think a lot of people assume the whole city got hit with that early Dec storm but a lot of people were disappointed from what I hear.
Bring on the rain..... no, for real. I’m stoked about that. We need it.
The model consensus is predicting nearly an all out torch for much of the SE US over the next 15 days averaged out. MDA mets for the next 15 days have Birmingham averaging +3, ATL and RDU averaging +4, and SAV/GNV averaging +6 to +7! Get ready for early bugs and pollen, especially more SE/E parts of the SE.
Meanwhile, Brent in Dallas is forecasted to be nearly 2 colder than normal averaged out over the next 15 days. Memphis is right at normal.
Meanwhile, Brent in Dallas is forecasted to be nearly 2 colder than normal averaged out over the next 15 days. Memphis is right at normal.
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Storm5
Member
Waiting for the Judah Cohen PV split. The split should be complete by this weekend . We shall see if it has any downstream impacts
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pcbjr
Member
This is just plain ugly.
Is it possible that the SE tends to be warmer than normal just in advance, near, and just after a PV split regardless of the final downstream effects? I don't know but I'm just throwing this out there for discussion.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Pretty classic late-winter NINA response but winter may not be done quite yet, we'll be headed towards the canonical cold phases of the MJO late in the month and March and we'll see blocking begin to appear over the far North Atlantic (-NAO) in response to the PV split's generation of equatorward propagating -AAM and very intense tropical forcing from the Pacific which will create a Rossby Wave train that will shut off the tap on the downward WAFz from the NP that's been reinforcing the +NAO of late.
NINA climatology also is generally more conducive to cold & snow for the upper south in March than February at least vs normals. All of these events listed below occurred in a La Nina event (1967-68 met the CPC criteria using my ENS ONI index table).
March 17-19 1893
Raleigh 2.1"
Norfolk, VA 1.0"
Charlotte T
Asheville T
March 7-8 1890
Raleigh 1.2"
Asheville 1.1"
Charlotte 1.0"
Wilmington 0.3"
This isn't funny anymore 
From MDA mets this morning (these folks don't hype):
"Stratospheric Warming And –AO Trends In Models
A stratospheric warming event will commence in the upcoming weekend, and models are allowing for that warming to transport downward from the stratosphere and into the troposphere. The results are increasing upper air heights over the Arctic and associated negative trends in the Arctic Oscillation (AO) during the 11-15 Day period (see maps above for evolution at the 500mb level and graph below for stratospheric temperature trends). This is a factor worth watching for the current 11-15 day period and especially in the periods beyond (i.e. 16-20 day period) for North American pattern implications. A –AO correlates colder in the Eastern Half this time of year, and a subset of dates from 1958, 1973, 1979, 1984-85, 1989, 2003, 2007, 2009 and 2013, which are best fit analogs for the upcoming modeled event, also highlight this as a colder signal for the Eastern Half. It should be noted, however, that recent research has events like this being more impactful in Europe versus North America, but it remains a factor worth watching heading into the final third of February."
"Stratospheric Warming And –AO Trends In Models
A stratospheric warming event will commence in the upcoming weekend, and models are allowing for that warming to transport downward from the stratosphere and into the troposphere. The results are increasing upper air heights over the Arctic and associated negative trends in the Arctic Oscillation (AO) during the 11-15 Day period (see maps above for evolution at the 500mb level and graph below for stratospheric temperature trends). This is a factor worth watching for the current 11-15 day period and especially in the periods beyond (i.e. 16-20 day period) for North American pattern implications. A –AO correlates colder in the Eastern Half this time of year, and a subset of dates from 1958, 1973, 1979, 1984-85, 1989, 2003, 2007, 2009 and 2013, which are best fit analogs for the upcoming modeled event, also highlight this as a colder signal for the Eastern Half. It should be noted, however, that recent research has events like this being more impactful in Europe versus North America, but it remains a factor worth watching heading into the final third of February."
tonysc
Member
Remember the March 25th 1971 snowstorm very well. 10 or so inches across parts of the Upstate as well. It was wonderful.
That storm lead to the latest major winter storm on record at ATL, a major ZR of all things 3/25/1971!
SCweather
Member
You mise well embrace it at this point.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Gotta get warm before you get snow in February! So a week from Valentine's Day, Boom goes the dynamite or the PV
packfan98
Moderator
Good stuff, Larry. Who are these MDA mets? Is there a website link you can share?
Thanks. No, it is a paid for service.