• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

Saw this on Twitter. Look at horrible the eps has been vs verification . This was the day 11-15 period from January 19.

What SER?
7aca41bf99b0efdf4edb0fda64806838.jpg


Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
No I dont. So you would rather ONLY get snow if you get to miss work??? That's kinda dumb. I'll take it anyway I can get it regardless or of the impact it has

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I mean well I guess I can still go to work, but what I'm trying to say is I like to have some or a good deal of impact with the storm because it makes it more exciting if you know what I mean. The freezing over is the icing on the cake for me.
 
Well, looks like the GFS wants to give me 2 inches of snow next Monday. Only 7 days out, so guess we'll see how it goes this week. Too far to the north now for me to be too excited about it. But at least we have something else to watch again.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
mrdaddyman said:
Hopefully we can get some storm systems with that and ones that aren't suppressed to Cuba.
Click to expand...
Like the one yesterday here. It poured and poured, and I ended up with over 2 inches. Now if that had been 2 inches of qpf in sleet, I could pass on the rest of winter, almost, lol, ...but alas, the 2 inchers are nearly always rain, unless it's the z storm from hell.
 
Clayton said:
You may be right, but it's almost worthless if you don't get it to freeze over because without a freeze over you'll still have to go to school, work, etc. Then it's almost like the storm was for nothing because staying home without the stress of work or school is the second best part of the storm. Do that's why I'm always kinda iffy about marginal events even if they are big. For example, even with all the snow in the early December storm, many people still had to go to work, etc the next day so it was almost as if the storm was for nothing. Get what I mean?
Click to expand...
The usual order, unless it's a spring storm, is it ip/sn's at 29 to 32 then the next night goes into a hard freeze. It's rare we get a good storm into super cold air. The cold stuff usually comes after.
 
Looks like *some* support for a Gulf system on 12Z GEFS. First two images is new 12Z valid 2/4 and 2/5...bottom two is the 0Z runs same time frame.
ensem.png 168.png gfs-ememb_lowlocs_eus_28.png gfs-ememb_lowlocs_eus_31.png
 
Clayton said:
I mean well I guess I can still go to work, but what I'm trying to say is I like to have some or a good deal of impact with the storm because it makes it more exciting if you know what I mean. The freezing over is the icing on the cake for me.
Click to expand...
As for me, I’d rather have the marginal temps because then you get the fun wet snow that the kids really enjoy. Can’t make snowballs or snowmen out of powder
 
dsaur said:
The usual order, unless it's a spring storm, is it ip/sn's at 29 to 32 then the next night goes into a hard freeze. It's rare we get a good storm into super cold air. The cold stuff usually comes after.
Click to expand...

Tony is correct. The 1/28/14's, and for areas of Georgia/Alabama, earlier this month with the powder snow and very cold temps, are even rarer than typical southern winter storms. Heck the 1/10-11/11's, which was wild too (with the cold temps after that, a lot of areas were shut down for a while).

And in most cases when I've seen typical southern winter storms everything shuts down anyway for at least a day. Like when I was in Northwest Georgia and saw 2/25/15 occur (which was a wet snow, 29-32 type event), everything was closed up the next day and it was back to business on 2/27. Same with the storm around 2/12/14. Back to business after one day of mostly everything closed the day after (outside of the area that was hammered with ice).
 
GFS looked even better than I thought. I know it includes ice, but this would be a good storm for NC. Hope it keeps showing on the models this week.

aaaa.thumb.jpg.a1053aac99df6c3d206bf84733acd337.jpg
 
Storm5 said:
And a follow system of interest. Of course all this is just fun to look at till now until there is better agreement

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

CMC had it 0z and now 12z. Surface maps that is. Didnt check H5 so can put alot of stock in whether or not its getting same result from a differnt setup or not.
 
GFS has two Miller A'ish type systems. One around the 7th and one around the 13th. 7th has a Lakes Low trying to rain on our parade and the 13th looks like a potential phase bomb. I'll concede the one in the 7th and go all in on the 13th. Let's feel it in
 
I'm going to go out on a limb and say something is firing out of the gulf on the 6th 7th. Whether temps will cooperate I don't know, but climo says "buy your bread and milk"
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top