cd2play
Member
After it finishes with phase 7
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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Michael21
Member
I don't know what people are seeing,but from what I'm seeing with the MJO going to a strong phase 7 and model trends,the Southeast may stay warm for most of February with the cold staying west of the Appalachian mountains.Not completely sure yet,but I'm not liking the trends.
packfan98
Moderator
WPC has over a 10% chance for at least .25” of snow/sleet on 2/3 for Tennessee and Western NC.
Nice hit for Tennessee and Kentucky on the 12z gfs
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Round Oak Weather
Member
But we have the PNA and the AO where we want it
Round Oak Weather
Member
I mean at what time frame are we looking at
pcbjr
Member
I do not mean this in any negative way; look at the forecast that Webb posted and count the dots from today ... it'll give you a pretty good indication ...
Round Oak Weather
Member
I do not mean this in any negative way; look at the forecast that Webb posted and count the dots from today ... it'll give you a pretty good indication ...
I gotcha I just wasn't sure exactly what those were so I didn't want to look at it wrong
Michael21
Member
Well,the 12Z Gfs is trending towards a -PNA with a southeast ridge.
Attachments
Same old it has done all winter. I love the parade of 1050+ highs entering Montana. I believe the models will catch on and move the cold further SE with those major features.
Round Oak Weather
Member
That looks to be for Feb 4th I wasn't and it seems most on here weren't expecting any cold or anything like that until maybe the second week
Yeah, no real cold locked in to the SE before the 20th. March is gonna rock though!
Lol day 9 GFS has a ridge and CMC a trough in the SE. hard to trust any model after day 7 with upcoming pattern. My money is on the cold, winter patterns tend to repeat and we’ve since this a lot already folks.
Sorry? Are you serious? Please go back and read the threads from both December and January dude. They will be identical to this one.
Stormlover
Member
ice storm setting up
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Again, we need to get that storm or possibly wave at day 6/7 out of the way before making any future conclusions...
Stormlover
Member
Round Oak Weather
Member
Febuary just needs to get here so everything will start to settle its self out
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Truly not sure the GFS knows what the heck it's doing. I'm going to be lazy and not look at H5 here, but it has a massive storm on the surface that takes from about 192 to 336 to develop and then go away.