Stormlover
Member
Yes, but they have been trending colder by the day...obviously Feb 1,2 won't be as cold as the last end of that period, but it's been showing the trend each day of colder farther southeast.
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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Smh, no wonder the GFS is a piece of garbage. We're using outdated microphysics schemes to resolve convection, precipitation, etc.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
So we are still using 21 year old input? Wow we need an upgrade with this new model unless they fail us and use the old schemes too.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol so this is what it's like to get underneath 474 dm thicknesses, the tropopause is virtually at the ground lmao. Using the 2 PVU surface some over eastern Canada dip below 600 hPa.
Stormlover
Member
slight risk of hazardous cold now into Alabama Feb. 3-9
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Irrespective of exactly how strong the SE US ridge is and whether it gets seriously cold in the SE US or not, this pattern in general looks like a ton of fun for whoever gets stuck near the middle. I'd take a look like this every day of the week knowing there could be some severe weather/tornadoes attached to it to chase haha. :weenie::weenie:
Clayton Reid
Member
I know what you mean,but why can't we get that in spring and summer instead of it just ruining our chances in winter? I'd be made if severe weather got in the way of winter storms. We get enough of that in the summer.We need a severe winter storm. Wait till then SMH.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Summer severe weather here is pretty benign in general w/ airmass, popcorn thunderstorms, the real fun where you can get widespread supercells and large-scale tornado outbreaks begins starting around February and this time of the year and goes til about June at the latest. The February 2008 super tuesday outbreak was a ton of fun to track.
Lol. There is just as great of a chance of severe as there is winter storms. Stop sweating the details of model runs that will keep changing.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I'm honestly just trying to keep my mind more open to all kinds of weather irrespective of their preferred time of the year so I'm less disgruntled. As much as I like cold and snow, I will not turn down a big severe weather outbreak if it came my way right now.
Wow ! Fab Feb looks like Flip flop Feb there! Ouch
Clayton Reid
Member
I beat you to
Eric, I meant I would be mad if severe weather got in the way of winter storms! I'm not talking about the fun of severe thunderstorms. SMH. We get enough severe weather all year round all across the country is what I mean. We don't want that now. There's never any winter storms in late spring/summer in the SE so I don't want to waste these ridiculously warm February's on thunderstorms. We need a cold, stormy February again. Screw this La Nina if it turns warm and we get screwed
pcbjr
Member
From the left field bleachers ... keep your severe, your tornados and your hurricanes in your own back yard ... or come clean up mine, please ... 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah there could be a lot of wild swings given the tight gradient in temperature across the contiguous US. Even in February 1989, during what's easily among the strongest La Ninas on record, where we had 2 big storms show up in NC, temperatures soared into the low-mid 80s less than 2 days before a big storm showed up on the 17th & 18th, which was followed by yet another storm several days later.
The gfs continues to look much different vs Euro late next week with a stronger wave
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I knew you would post right after I made that comment. Lol. You are getting pretty worked up over this lately. Maybe it's time to take a break for a bit!
Well you were talking about the ridge earlier so he is just stating what is showing on the models. If there is a ridge yes there can be severe weather. But it wouldn't surprise me if things changed quite a bit after that. Just have to be patient!
Yeah could be a few really good gradient type systems with this pattern . At least itsbnot boring
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
I wish I was better at poking around weather history, but given that wunderground says that my area had snow on 2/23/89...