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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

I’m sure this belongs in banter and the 18z says game on at hr 372
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Webberweather53 said:
Yeah there could be a lot of wild swings given the tight gradient in temperature across the contiguous US. Even in February 1989, during what's easily among the strongest La Ninas on record, where we had 2 big storms show up in NC, temperatures soared into the low-mid 80s less than 2 days before a big storm showed up on the 17th & 18th, which was followed by yet another storm several days later.
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Oh yeah, Feb 1989 was crazy indeed. The first of those storms was a major icestorm down here into SC too. As far that 2nd storm we ended up with around 2-3 inches on the ground, but I imagine up to 6-8 inches actually fell. Warm ground temps melted a lot of it as it fell. Earlier in that month we had temps in the 80's followed by very cold temps for 1 morning. Got down to near 10 here.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I wish I was better at poking around weather history, but given that wunderground says that my area had snow on 2/23/89...
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Yep. Most of SC had snow that day. Oddly enough the Augusta GA area got more than most of upstate SC.
 
Not that it matters as it will likely be entirely different on the 0z run, but the GFS kind of looks like what we've had some of the old schoolers on this board have said that have sparked up snow. An old frontal boundary eventually moving and becoming something really nice.

That said, 384 hour fantasy land.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I wish I was better at poking around weather history, but given that wunderground says that my area had snow on 2/23/89...
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It did snow in your area, too. I remember the storm fairly well. It started snowing while we were in school (I believe the period before lunch). Several students went to the window, and the flakes got larger and the intensity was increasing.

Shortly afterwards, we received word that school would soon be releasing. By the time, the storm departed; we had 4 1/2-5 inches of snow.
 
ColaSnow said:
It did snow in your area, too. I remember the storm fairly well. It started snowing while we were in school (I believe the period before lunch). Several students went to the window, and the flakes got larger and the intensity was increasing.

Shortly afterwards, we received word that school would soon be releasing. By the time, the storm departed; we had 4 1/2-5 inches of snow.
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That storm was weird. If I remember right, Augusta GA and Columbia were both in the upper 20's, while most of upstate SC stood in the mid 30's. One reason I guess that most of our snow melted as it fell.
 
GaWx said:
Raleigh 6"+ SN/IP dates in February
(16 storms): pretty well spread out except a little quiet Feb. 2-5:

2/1, 2/6, 2/6-7, 2/9-10, 2/9-10, 2/10-11, 2/11-13, 2/14, 2/15-6, 2/17-8, 2/18-9, 2/21-2, 2/25-6, 2/26, 2/26-7, 2/28,
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No coincidence my bday is 2/4

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ColaSnow said:
It did snow in your area, too. I remember the storm fairly well. It started snowing while we were in school (I believe the period before lunch). Several students went to the window, and the flakes got larger and the intensity was increasing.

Shortly afterwards, we received word that school would soon be releasing. By the time, the storm departed; we had 4 1/2-5 inches of snow.
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Haha, I asked my dad about this period and he said "I don't remember", of course he's also insisted before that when he moved down south from Ohio (which was shortly after 1973) that he was hearing about a "big snow" that happened in 1974 on the radio.

But yeah, from what I'm reading here apparently KAGS has the same issue too with not being able to record liquid equivalent well. I think this area had 3 1/2-4 inches of snow.
 
I feel like we've done this same thing quite a bit the last few years big ridge goes up in the Pacific models try to drive the energy into the SW and we get a SE ridge. Then as we step forward in time the trough axis is farther east and the SE ridge is muted an off shore.

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Excellent post with historical data for Greensboro, NC. Some great years and some duds. Definitely one of the better spots to be in the SE outside the mountains.
 
image.png I Love me some DT!! Aleeeeeet
 
SD said:
I feel like we've done this same thing quite a bit the last few years big ridge goes up in the Pacific models try to drive the energy into the SW and we get a SE ridge. Then as we step forward in time the trough axis is farther east and the SE ridge is muted an off shore.

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By day 12 on the GEFS really is moving the polar vortex low in a good spot with good blocking. Would be nice if the EPS showed this but the GEFS has shown this for a few runs now.


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Jon said:
And keep in mind this is before the PV even gets going south. Feb 5th onward is the timeframe folks.


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Spann has been hinting at this for a while now.

SOMETHING TO WATCH: Keep an eye on brutally cold air over Siberia; no threat to North America now, but if a cross polar flow forms in coming weeks, that could spell trouble for Canada and possibly parts of the U.S.

 
skywatcher said:
Spann has been hinting at this for a while now.

SOMETHING TO WATCH: Keep an eye on brutally cold air over Siberia; no threat to North America now, but if a cross polar flow forms in coming weeks, that could spell trouble for Canada and possibly parts of the U.S.

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Bring it


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ForsythSnow said:
Which cherry picked ensemble member did he pick to get that lie? Or did he use a multiplier?
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I think he's calling out that guy , not his forecast. He's just a hoot!
 
Kentucky seems to be the place to be on the first one..but Tennessee may still do great too..0Z GFS for next Thu/Fri Edit: eastern NC gets some right after this,
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
240hr bullseye. What could go wrong?
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Yes except the gfs has been plastering the same area run after run for a number of days now. The euro also had the storm a few days ago then lost it and then brought it back today. Still I obviously don’t know how it will truly play out but I can’t remember a time where models kept nailing the same spot run after run over a week out. This thing is now 6 days out and tomorrow will be 5 unless it moves up in time as it did this run. Like I said earlier I’m not getting to excited yet but it’s getting more and more difficult with each run. If this bad boy is still showing totals like this on Sunday it will start to really suck me in.
 
question: if the euro only goes to 240 hours..why is there a 15 day high low meteogram available for it? where are the 15 day charts then?
 
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