It was a whacky looking run for sure. To be honest I did see some good trends tho and some bad. Better than gfs for sure. My area gets shut out this run but whatever. Lol. Glad there is still something showing up.
Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
The euro at 12z (not 00z) has been consistent on vortex location the last 3 days 
At least it will be nice and pleasant after the ice knocks out all the power:
It’s like every day the models come up with some sort of different evolution, it’s super irritating, I know models aren’t suppose to do well at that range but it seems like it’s sticking around that range forever, not moving, constantly throwing different looks at us, let’s see what the EPS does
Today's ECMWF run shows a lot of ice without there being much of a CAD in place in the Carolinas. It's something that's not as frequently associated with ice at least around here but it can happen from time to time. Verbatim the 12z ECMWF is the kind of setup you'd see in the southern plains when they get large ice storms.
The fact we have a a lot of interactions between blocking and multiple tpv's will only make this worse. At this point expect changes with every run.
Overall this euro run just further shows how fluid this will be. Multiple ways to get wintry weather. We have multiple scenarios here and we will continue to swing wildly based on the speed of the front
Another TPV is dropping into SE Canada on the Euro here by day 10.
Our cold keeps getting delayed to day 10. That’s a real issue
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Today's EPS looks like it has improved by day 6-7, dropping the TPV a little further south in the northern plains and the wave near Atlantic Canada is deeper = suppressed SE ridge
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
The models have definitely gone the wrong direction today. We've gone from a huge snow storm on all the globals to either rain or less snow and more ice in less than 24 hours.
They haven’t really trended worse, but into more disagreement, which is expected
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
They all showed a big snow storm yesterday. They are not showing that today. It's either cold rain or more ice and less snow. That's worse to most folks.
To be quite honest, almost every model except the GEFS & GFS have trended better today. Certainly makes you wonder
Gone wrong direction for you but in a right direction for us deep south folks
Not for us in the west . Every backyard for itself at this point lol
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
How is that Euro run better than the big snow storm it had the last run?